Robert's Rankings

College Basketball 2006-2007

2005-2006 2004-2005 2003-2004 2002-2003 2001-2002

Number of Teams: 336	Number of Games: 5091
Number of Upsets: 1206 (23.7%)	Grouping Factor: 0.232774

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.2393	0.4246	0.6704	0.8493	1.138	1.504

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Ohio St.	32 - 3	27	2.58329	1	1
2	North Carolina	30 - 6	12	2.56352	2	2
3	UCLA	28 - 5	14	2.45456	3	3
4	Kansas	32 - 4	75	2.44392	4	5
5	Florida	31 - 5	53	2.42515	5	4
6	Georgetown	28 - 6	32	2.26388	6	7
7	Wisconsin	30 - 6	35	2.22263	7	6
8	Memphis	32 - 3	106	2.20966	8	8
9	Texas A&M	27 - 6	76	2.15166	9	9
10	Pittsburgh	29 - 7	24	2.11922	10	10
11	Southern Ill.	29 - 6	62	2.05358	11	12
12	Oregon	28 - 7	51	2.02658	12	13
13	UNLV	30 - 6	71	2.00471	13	15
14	Maryland	25 - 9	30	1.96987	14	11
15	Butler	29 - 6	102	1.90432	15	18
16	Duke	22 - 11	3	1.8916	16	14
17	Tennessee	24 - 10	4	1.87218	17	21
18	Washington St.	26 - 8	52	1.84704	18	16
19	Kentucky	22 - 12	2	1.83126	19	20
20	Arizona	20 - 11	1	1.80885	20	17
21	Air Force	26 - 8	91	1.79812	23	31
22	Nevada	29 - 5	107	1.78394	21	22
23	USC	25 - 11	22	1.77209	22	35
24	Notre Dame	24 - 8	84	1.75014	24	19
25	Clemson	24 - 10	39	1.73653	29	34
26	Texas	25 - 10	49	1.72929	25	25
27	Louisville	24 - 10	43	1.72157	26	23
28	Michigan St.	23 - 12	13	1.71212	27	24
29	Virginia Tech	22 - 12	16	1.70814	28	27
30	Xavier	25 - 9	95	1.69324	30	29
31	Georgia Tech	20 - 12	9	1.69223	32	28
32	Villanova	22 - 11	18	1.68414	31	26
33	Vanderbilt	22 - 11	23	1.68366	33	39
34	Marquette	24 - 10	47	1.67615	34	33
35	BYU	25 - 9	79	1.66802	37	38
36	Indiana	21 - 11	25	1.66727	35	30
37	Creighton	22 - 11	58	1.66454	36	32
38	Purdue	22 - 12	21	1.62913	39	42
39	Boston Coll.	21 - 12	6	1.62565	40	36
40	Virginia	21 - 11	29	1.62496	41	37
41	Syracuse	24 - 11	68	1.61879	38	40
42	West Virginia	23 - 9	78	1.59873	42	47
43	Missouri St.	22 - 11	64	1.57644	43	46
44	VCU	28 - 7	143	1.56765	44	43
45	Illinois	23 - 12	45	1.56759	45	41
46	Arkansas	21 - 14	17	1.56558	46	44
47	Florida St.	20 - 13	7	1.52996	47	45
48	Mississippi St.	19 - 13	42	1.52352	48	56
49	Winthrop	29 - 5	151	1.51964	49	49
50	Bradley	22 - 12	50	1.51619	50	48
51	Alabama	20 - 11	55	1.49044	51	50
52	Gonzaga	23 - 11	88	1.48829	52	53
53	Davidson	29 - 5	197	1.48767	54	51
54	Oklahoma St.	22 - 12	44	1.48535	53	54
55	Stanford	18 - 13	10	1.47671	55	57
56	Old Dominion	24 - 9	114	1.47546	56	55
57	Kansas St.	23 - 12	72	1.46164	58	52
58	Akron	26 - 7	201	1.45819	59	60
59	Michigan	21 - 12	31	1.45471	60	58
60	Texas Tech	21 - 13	48	1.44522	61	63
61	DePaul	20 - 14	26	1.44143	57	62
62	Massachusetts	23 - 8	142	1.42802	62	64
63	Georgia	19 - 14	8	1.42768	63	59
64	Washington	19 - 13	28	1.4235	64	67
65	Mississippi	21 - 13	54	1.41842	65	61
66	San Diego St.	22 - 11	82	1.41351	66	65
67	Drexel	23 - 8	138	1.39898	67	66
68	LSU	17 - 15	33	1.39347	68	69
69	New Mexico St.	25 - 9	141	1.35912	69	68
70	Missouri	18 - 12	70	1.35334	70	71
71	N.C. State	18 - 16	11	1.33803	71	70
72	Appalachian St.	25 - 8	160	1.33588	72	72
73	Utah St.	23 - 11	115	1.31081	73	73
74	Providence	18 - 13	67	1.30548	74	74
75	California	16 - 17	5	1.30359	75	76
76	Geo. Washington	23 - 9	148	1.29489	76	75
77	Northern Iowa	18 - 13	73	1.28769	77	78
78	Fresno St.	22 - 10	144	1.28403	78	77
79	Wright St.	23 - 10	152	1.27701	79	81
80	Santa Clara	21 - 10	124	1.27579	80	80
81	Wichita St.	17 - 14	65	1.26577	81	82
82	Iowa	17 - 14	57	1.26305	82	79
83	Hawaii	18 - 13	101	1.24628	83	83
84	Oklahoma	16 - 15	40	1.24473	84	85
85	Connecticut	17 - 14	74	1.23257	85	84
86	Auburn	17 - 15	36	1.22447	86	90
87	Hofstra	22 - 10	165	1.22033	87	88
88	Texas A&M C.C.	26 - 7	216	1.21616	88	86
89	Nebraska	17 - 14	61	1.20441	90	93
90	Holy Cross	25 - 9	199	1.20373	89	87
91	Saint Louis	20 - 13	94	1.20018	91	92
92	Long Beach St.	24 - 8	187	1.19932	92	89
93	Dayton	19 - 12	99	1.19724	93	91
94	Loyola Chicago	21 - 11	118	1.1949	94	95
95	Kent St.	21 - 11	140	1.1908	95	94
96	Oral Roberts	23 - 11	163	1.17983	96	97
97	Pennsylvania	22 - 9	174	1.17827	97	96
98	Wake Forest	15 - 16	19	1.17045	98	98
99	Bucknell	22 - 9	234	1.15552	99	99
100	UCF	22 - 9	206	1.153	100	102
101	Colorado St.	17 - 13	86	1.14932	102	103
102	Marist	24 - 8	288	1.1458	101	101
103	Vermont	25 - 8	260	1.14053	103	100
104	Houston	18 - 15	93	1.13358	104	105
105	Drake	17 - 15	80	1.13046	105	107
106	West. Kentucky	22 - 11	179	1.12941	106	106
107	South Carolina	14 - 16	15	1.12572	107	110
108	Wyoming	17 - 15	89	1.12119	110	111
109	Miami (OH)	18 - 15	104	1.12009	108	104
110	Toledo	19 - 12	132	1.11851	109	108
111	St. Joseph's	18 - 14	110	1.10965	111	109
112	Tulsa	20 - 11	157	1.10223	112	112
113	Rhode Island	19 - 14	103	1.08444	113	113
114	Boise St.	17 - 14	109	1.08052	115	114
115	Charleston	22 - 11	191	1.08009	116	116
116	Southern Miss	20 - 11	149	1.07925	117	118
117	St. John's	16 - 15	77	1.07732	114	115
118	Illinois St.	15 - 16	87	1.07164	118	119
119	Ohio	19 - 13	158	1.07086	119	117
120	Evansville	14 - 17	85	1.06076	120	123
121	Utah Valley St.	22 - 7	326	1.06071	121	121
122	George Mason	18 - 15	131	1.05944	122	120
123	Fordham	18 - 12	135	1.05483	123	122
124	Baylor	15 - 16	69	1.04264	124	127
125	Miami (FL)	12 - 20	38	1.04199	126	124
126	Belmont	23 - 10	271	1.04164	125	126
127	Utah	11 - 19	60	1.014	131	133
128	North Dakota St.	20 - 8	298	1.01293	128	128
129	Iowa St.	15 - 16	66	1.01279	127	130
130	UAB	15 - 16	100	1.01161	129	131
131	Indiana St.	13 - 18	56	1.0105	130	132
132	Sam Houston St.	21 - 10	219	1.00959	133	129
133	Albany	21 - 10	247	1.00951	132	125
134	UCSB	18 - 11	232	1.00053	134	134
135	New Mexico	15 - 17	92	0.998089	135	137
136	North Texas	23 - 11	273	0.991507	136	135
137	Seton Hall	13 - 16	83	0.983518	137	138
138	E. Tennessee St.	24 - 10	278	0.980328	138	140
139	South Alabama	20 - 12	212	0.977842	139	139
140	St. Mary's	17 - 15	128	0.976672	140	141
141	Niagara	23 - 12	252	0.97567	141	136
142	Cincinnati	11 - 19	41	0.968567	142	142
143	Oakland	19 - 14	156	0.967841	143	143
144	Tulane	17 - 13	145	0.960583	144	147
145	W. Michigan	16 - 16	127	0.958823	145	145
146	Siena	20 - 12	263	0.956635	146	144
147	Cal Poly	19 - 11	251	0.956309	147	146
148	Northwestern	13 - 18	46	0.945958	148	148
149	CSU Fullerton	20 - 10	266	0.937429	149	149
150	Tennessee Tech	19 - 13	225	0.927597	150	150
151	Eastern Kentucky	21 - 12	214	0.927359	151	151
152	UTEP	14 - 17	154	0.921671	152	152
153	Austin Peay	21 - 12	222	0.919471	153	154
154	Weber St.	20 - 12	203	0.914113	154	156
155	Penn St.	11 - 19	63	0.909921	155	153
156	Central Conn. St.	22 - 12	295	0.908307	157	155
157	Charlotte	14 - 16	116	0.908073	156	157
158	High Point	22 - 10	267	0.905136	158	158
159	TCU	13 - 17	96	0.900672	161	164
160	Ill. Chicago	14 - 18	120	0.900623	159	159
161	Wis. Green Bay	18 - 15	164	0.898596	160	160
162	Northern Arizona	18 - 12	205	0.892688	162	163
163	San Diego	18 - 14	184	0.891067	163	162
164	Rice	16 - 16	129	0.890588	164	166
165	Temple	12 - 18	119	0.884629	165	161
166	South Florida	12 - 18	90	0.881358	166	165
167	Marshall	13 - 19	108	0.875257	167	167
168	Arizona St.	8 - 22	20	0.868533	168	171
169	Valparaiso	16 - 15	170	0.861509	169	169
170	Towson	15 - 17	139	0.86093	170	168
171	Delaware St.	21 - 12	235	0.860393	171	170
172	Loyola (MD)	18 - 13	308	0.854095	172	172
173	Minnesota	9 - 22	37	0.851555	173	173
174	N.C. Greensboro	16 - 14	217	0.849895	174	174
175	Northwestern St.	17 - 15	218	0.843338	175	176
176	Arkansas St.	18 - 15	240	0.843302	176	177
177	Youngstown St.	14 - 17	111	0.842049	177	178
178	Portland St.	19 - 13	270	0.840755	178	179
179	William & Mary	15 - 15	196	0.839406	179	175
180	Lipscomb	18 - 13	287	0.837204	180	180
181	San Francisco	13 - 18	113	0.831729	181	182
182	Yale	14 - 13	224	0.829913	182	181
183	Oregon St.	11 - 21	34	0.824863	183	184
184	Sacred Heart	17 - 14	276	0.822028	184	183
185	SMU	14 - 17	146	0.820582	185	186
186	UC Irvine	15 - 18	175	0.818539	186	185
187	Loyola Marymount	13 - 18	123	0.8161	187	187
188	Robert Morris	16 - 11	327	0.813521	188	188
189	American	16 - 14	264	0.807521	189	189
190	Montana	17 - 15	243	0.804135	190	191
191	Furman	15 - 16	182	0.802479	191	193
192	Southern Utah	16 - 14	244	0.801503	192	192
193	Cornell	15 - 12	309	0.800345	193	190
194	Eastern Wash.	14 - 14	188	0.79552	194	195
195	Middle Tenn. St.	15 - 17	186	0.793	195	194
196	Murray St.	16 - 14	248	0.786327	196	198
197	Detroit	11 - 19	117	0.785596	197	199
198	Columbia	16 - 11	310	0.78408	198	196
199	Louisiana Tech	10 - 20	98	0.783337	199	197
200	Jackson St.	21 - 14	284	0.778198	200	200
201	Florida Atlantic	16 - 15	204	0.777109	201	202
202	Duquesne	10 - 19	134	0.773464	202	201
203	Idaho St.	13 - 17	159	0.77221	203	203
204	Samford	16 - 16	213	0.77193	204	204
205	Colorado	7 - 20	59	0.771807	205	207
206	Rutgers	10 - 19	81	0.765964	206	206
207	Northeastern	12 - 19	122	0.765335	207	205
208	Buffalo	12 - 19	171	0.759785	208	208
209	Florida A&M	21 - 14	261	0.759059	209	209
210	IUPUI	15 - 15	220	0.757397	210	211
211	Rider	16 - 15	272	0.754224	211	210
212	LA Monroe	18 - 14	265	0.752397	212	212
213	Lamar	14 - 17	190	0.749778	213	213
214	Fairfield	13 - 19	185	0.739381	214	214
215	Troy	13 - 17	231	0.737242	215	215
216	Cent. Michigan	13 - 18	178	0.736252	216	216
217	Stephen F. Austin	14 - 14	290	0.730616	217	218
218	Jacksonville	15 - 14	228	0.730275	218	221
219	Georgia Southern	15 - 16	215	0.729976	220	220
220	SE Louisiana	16 - 14	304	0.729868	219	217
221	Pacific	12 - 19	155	0.728622	221	219
222	Chattanooga	15 - 18	167	0.727973	222	222
223	Bowling Green	13 - 18	195	0.722382	223	224
224	Boston U.	12 - 17	249	0.718185	224	223
225	New Orleans	12 - 17	233	0.717524	225	225
226	Wis. Milwaukee	9 - 22	105	0.717094	226	227
227	CSU Northridge	14 - 17	209	0.713242	227	226
228	East. Michigan	13 - 19	189	0.712844	228	228
229	Miss. Valley St.	18 - 15	314	0.709952	229	229
230	Manhattan	13 - 17	262	0.703403	230	230
231	Fair. Dickinson	14 - 15	315	0.699705	231	231
232	AR Little Rock	13 - 17	229	0.698265	232	234
233	Hampton	15 - 16	313	0.697726	233	232
234	Coastal Carolina	15 - 15	268	0.697037	234	237
235	Army	15 - 15	255	0.69359	235	233
236	Harvard	12 - 16	254	0.692932	236	235
237	Binghamton	13 - 16	323	0.69064	237	236
238	Georgia St.	11 - 20	147	0.687962	238	238
239	Ball St.	9 - 22	130	0.685702	239	239
240	Hartford	13 - 17	282	0.679058	240	240
241	McNeese St.	15 - 17	253	0.675874	241	243
242	Mo. Kansas City	12 - 20	200	0.674467	243	244
243	Quinnipiac	14 - 15	328	0.674392	242	242
244	Brown	11 - 18	257	0.673614	244	241
245	Navy	14 - 16	227	0.668901	245	245
246	Richmond	8 - 21	137	0.664531	246	246
247	Cleveland St.	10 - 21	121	0.662754	247	249
248	Pepperdine	8 - 23	161	0.662743	248	248
249	Chicago St.	9 - 20	126	0.661051	249	247
250	Liberty	14 - 17	238	0.657677	250	251
251	Lehigh	12 - 19	223	0.654109	251	250
252	Florida Intl.	12 - 16	241	0.652535	252	253
253	La Salle	9 - 20	181	0.650869	253	252
254	Monmouth	12 - 18	293	0.650492	254	254
255	N.C. Wilmington	7 - 22	133	0.647556	255	255
256	Campbell	14 - 17	300	0.646494	257	258
257	TX Arlington	13 - 17	296	0.646256	258	257
258	Canisius	12 - 19	274	0.645762	256	256
259	Princeton	11 - 17	297	0.644776	259	259
260	San Jose St.	5 - 25	97	0.636424	260	261
261	MD Baltimore Cty.	12 - 19	250	0.635713	261	260
262	Western Carolina	11 - 20	166	0.633269	262	262
263	Portland	8 - 23	136	0.626521	263	263
264	N.C. Asheville	12 - 19	172	0.619915	264	265
265	Kennesaw St.	13 - 18	307	0.619329	265	264
266	Tennessee St.	12 - 20	246	0.61903	266	266
267	Virginia Military	14 - 19	279	0.618344	267	267
268	IPFW	12 - 17	194	0.615814	268	268
269	Morehead St.	12 - 18	320	0.614118	269	269
270	Texas Pan Amer.	14 - 15	305	0.612981	270	271
271	Centenary	10 - 21	202	0.611703	271	270
272	Mount St. Mary's	11 - 20	259	0.608823	272	272
273	N.C. A&T	14 - 17	331	0.608249	273	273
274	LA Lafayette	9 - 21	198	0.606334	274	275
275	S. Carolina St.	13 - 17	332	0.603366	275	276
276	Maine	12 - 18	299	0.601623	276	274
277	Wofford	10 - 20	192	0.600012	277	277
278	Northern Illinois	7 - 23	177	0.595769	278	278
279	Montana St.	11 - 19	256	0.594576	279	279
280	Coppin St.	11 - 19	193	0.590933	280	280
281	St. Bonaventure	7 - 22	173	0.584394	281	281
282	Mercer	12 - 17	277	0.58431	282	285
283	Morgan St.	12 - 18	334	0.583471	283	284
284	James Madison	7 - 23	168	0.582682	285	283
285	Colgate	10 - 19	245	0.582549	284	282
286	Sacramento St.	10 - 18	239	0.582086	286	286
287	Dartmouth	9 - 18	236	0.575934	287	287
288	Gardner-Webb	9 - 21	169	0.572854	288	288
289	SE Missouri St.	11 - 20	281	0.572006	289	289
290	Stetson	11 - 20	242	0.568369	290	291
291	Nicholls St.	8 - 22	180	0.563769	291	294
292	Stony Brook	8 - 20	283	0.563317	292	290
293	New Hampshire	10 - 20	303	0.563014	293	292
294	Wagner	11 - 19	325	0.562312	294	293
295	St. Francis (NY)	9 - 22	286	0.558973	295	295
296	Savannah St.	11 - 17	183	0.557394	296	296
297	Central Arkansas	10 - 19	285	0.552692	297	297
298	Elon	7 - 23	162	0.552446	298	298
299	Eastern Illinois	10 - 20	312	0.551024	299	299
300	AR Pine Bluff	11 - 19	289	0.548549	302	303
301	Southern	10 - 20	258	0.548507	300	300
302	Texas Southern	14 - 17	322	0.548346	301	302
303	Norfolk St.	11 - 19	302	0.547954	304	305
304	Jacksonville St.	9 - 21	318	0.547594	303	304
305	Delaware	5 - 25	176	0.544658	305	301
306	Idaho	4 - 27	112	0.539378	306	306
307	Grambling St.	12 - 14	330	0.537437	307	307
308	Radford	8 - 22	230	0.527941	308	309
309	Long Island	10 - 19	333	0.526765	309	308
310	Longwood	9 - 21	226	0.521657	310	310
311	Alabama St.	10 - 20	321	0.51599	311	312
312	Lafayette	8 - 21	208	0.512497	312	311
313	East Carolina	6 - 24	153	0.508462	313	313
314	St. Francis (PA)	8 - 20	319	0.503962	314	314
315	UC Davis	5 - 23	237	0.503351	315	315
316	Tenn-Martin	8 - 23	301	0.498976	316	317
317	Citadel	7 - 23	150	0.498723	317	316
318	Texas St.	9 - 20	294	0.493065	318	318
319	UC Riverside	7 - 24	210	0.492501	319	319
320	UTSA	7 - 22	211	0.488315	320	320
321	Charleston S.	8 - 22	207	0.485703	322	322
322	Alcorn St.	11 - 19	335	0.485621	321	321
323	Western Ill.	7 - 23	280	0.476782	323	323
324	South Dakota St.	6 - 24	275	0.47217	324	324
325	Howard	9 - 21	336	0.466718	325	325
326	Bethune-Cookman	9 - 20	316	0.458931	326	327
327	St. Peter's	5 - 25	311	0.45535	327	326
328	Denver	4 - 25	291	0.441624	328	328
329	Northern Colorado	4 - 24	292	0.440242	329	329
330	Prairie View A&M	8 - 22	306	0.432947	330	330
331	Iona	2 - 28	221	0.428468	331	331
332	Winston-Salem	4 - 24	125	0.419613	332	332
333	Alabama A&M	9 - 20	329	0.412652	333	333
334	N.J.I.T.	5 - 24	324	0.410576	334	334
335	MD Eastern Shore	4 - 26	317	0.376359	335	335
336	North Florida	3 - 26	269	0.375251	336	336

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde