Robert's Rankings
College Basketball 2006-2007
Introduction
Coll. Men's Basketball
Coll. Women's Basketball
Coll. Football
Pro Basketball
Pro Football
Pro Baseball
Pro Hockey
2005-2006
2004-2005
2003-2004
2002-2003
2001-2002
Number of Teams: 336
Number of Games: 5091
Number of Upsets: 1206 (23.7%)
Grouping Factor: 0.232774
Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset
50%
35%
25%
15%
10%
5%
2%
Quality Factor Difference
0
0.2393
0.4246
0.6704
0.8493
1.138
1.504
Rank
Name
Record
Strength of Schedule
Quality Factor
1 Day Earlier
Last Week
1
Ohio St.
32 - 3
27
2.58329
1
1
2
North Carolina
30 - 6
12
2.56352
2
2
3
UCLA
28 - 5
14
2.45456
3
3
4
Kansas
32 - 4
75
2.44392
4
5
5
Florida
31 - 5
53
2.42515
5
4
6
Georgetown
28 - 6
32
2.26388
6
7
7
Wisconsin
30 - 6
35
2.22263
7
6
8
Memphis
32 - 3
106
2.20966
8
8
9
Texas A&M
27 - 6
76
2.15166
9
9
10
Pittsburgh
29 - 7
24
2.11922
10
10
11
Southern Ill.
29 - 6
62
2.05358
11
12
12
Oregon
28 - 7
51
2.02658
12
13
13
UNLV
30 - 6
71
2.00471
13
15
14
Maryland
25 - 9
30
1.96987
14
11
15
Butler
29 - 6
102
1.90432
15
18
16
Duke
22 - 11
3
1.8916
16
14
17
Tennessee
24 - 10
4
1.87218
17
21
18
Washington St.
26 - 8
52
1.84704
18
16
19
Kentucky
22 - 12
2
1.83126
19
20
20
Arizona
20 - 11
1
1.80885
20
17
21
Air Force
26 - 8
91
1.79812
23
31
22
Nevada
29 - 5
107
1.78394
21
22
23
USC
25 - 11
22
1.77209
22
35
24
Notre Dame
24 - 8
84
1.75014
24
19
25
Clemson
24 - 10
39
1.73653
29
34
26
Texas
25 - 10
49
1.72929
25
25
27
Louisville
24 - 10
43
1.72157
26
23
28
Michigan St.
23 - 12
13
1.71212
27
24
29
Virginia Tech
22 - 12
16
1.70814
28
27
30
Xavier
25 - 9
95
1.69324
30
29
31
Georgia Tech
20 - 12
9
1.69223
32
28
32
Villanova
22 - 11
18
1.68414
31
26
33
Vanderbilt
22 - 11
23
1.68366
33
39
34
Marquette
24 - 10
47
1.67615
34
33
35
BYU
25 - 9
79
1.66802
37
38
36
Indiana
21 - 11
25
1.66727
35
30
37
Creighton
22 - 11
58
1.66454
36
32
38
Purdue
22 - 12
21
1.62913
39
42
39
Boston Coll.
21 - 12
6
1.62565
40
36
40
Virginia
21 - 11
29
1.62496
41
37
41
Syracuse
24 - 11
68
1.61879
38
40
42
West Virginia
23 - 9
78
1.59873
42
47
43
Missouri St.
22 - 11
64
1.57644
43
46
44
VCU
28 - 7
143
1.56765
44
43
45
Illinois
23 - 12
45
1.56759
45
41
46
Arkansas
21 - 14
17
1.56558
46
44
47
Florida St.
20 - 13
7
1.52996
47
45
48
Mississippi St.
19 - 13
42
1.52352
48
56
49
Winthrop
29 - 5
151
1.51964
49
49
50
Bradley
22 - 12
50
1.51619
50
48
51
Alabama
20 - 11
55
1.49044
51
50
52
Gonzaga
23 - 11
88
1.48829
52
53
53
Davidson
29 - 5
197
1.48767
54
51
54
Oklahoma St.
22 - 12
44
1.48535
53
54
55
Stanford
18 - 13
10
1.47671
55
57
56
Old Dominion
24 - 9
114
1.47546
56
55
57
Kansas St.
23 - 12
72
1.46164
58
52
58
Akron
26 - 7
201
1.45819
59
60
59
Michigan
21 - 12
31
1.45471
60
58
60
Texas Tech
21 - 13
48
1.44522
61
63
61
DePaul
20 - 14
26
1.44143
57
62
62
Massachusetts
23 - 8
142
1.42802
62
64
63
Georgia
19 - 14
8
1.42768
63
59
64
Washington
19 - 13
28
1.4235
64
67
65
Mississippi
21 - 13
54
1.41842
65
61
66
San Diego St.
22 - 11
82
1.41351
66
65
67
Drexel
23 - 8
138
1.39898
67
66
68
LSU
17 - 15
33
1.39347
68
69
69
New Mexico St.
25 - 9
141
1.35912
69
68
70
Missouri
18 - 12
70
1.35334
70
71
71
N.C. State
18 - 16
11
1.33803
71
70
72
Appalachian St.
25 - 8
160
1.33588
72
72
73
Utah St.
23 - 11
115
1.31081
73
73
74
Providence
18 - 13
67
1.30548
74
74
75
California
16 - 17
5
1.30359
75
76
76
Geo. Washington
23 - 9
148
1.29489
76
75
77
Northern Iowa
18 - 13
73
1.28769
77
78
78
Fresno St.
22 - 10
144
1.28403
78
77
79
Wright St.
23 - 10
152
1.27701
79
81
80
Santa Clara
21 - 10
124
1.27579
80
80
81
Wichita St.
17 - 14
65
1.26577
81
82
82
Iowa
17 - 14
57
1.26305
82
79
83
Hawaii
18 - 13
101
1.24628
83
83
84
Oklahoma
16 - 15
40
1.24473
84
85
85
Connecticut
17 - 14
74
1.23257
85
84
86
Auburn
17 - 15
36
1.22447
86
90
87
Hofstra
22 - 10
165
1.22033
87
88
88
Texas A&M C.C.
26 - 7
216
1.21616
88
86
89
Nebraska
17 - 14
61
1.20441
90
93
90
Holy Cross
25 - 9
199
1.20373
89
87
91
Saint Louis
20 - 13
94
1.20018
91
92
92
Long Beach St.
24 - 8
187
1.19932
92
89
93
Dayton
19 - 12
99
1.19724
93
91
94
Loyola Chicago
21 - 11
118
1.1949
94
95
95
Kent St.
21 - 11
140
1.1908
95
94
96
Oral Roberts
23 - 11
163
1.17983
96
97
97
Pennsylvania
22 - 9
174
1.17827
97
96
98
Wake Forest
15 - 16
19
1.17045
98
98
99
Bucknell
22 - 9
234
1.15552
99
99
100
UCF
22 - 9
206
1.153
100
102
101
Colorado St.
17 - 13
86
1.14932
102
103
102
Marist
24 - 8
288
1.1458
101
101
103
Vermont
25 - 8
260
1.14053
103
100
104
Houston
18 - 15
93
1.13358
104
105
105
Drake
17 - 15
80
1.13046
105
107
106
West. Kentucky
22 - 11
179
1.12941
106
106
107
South Carolina
14 - 16
15
1.12572
107
110
108
Wyoming
17 - 15
89
1.12119
110
111
109
Miami (OH)
18 - 15
104
1.12009
108
104
110
Toledo
19 - 12
132
1.11851
109
108
111
St. Joseph's
18 - 14
110
1.10965
111
109
112
Tulsa
20 - 11
157
1.10223
112
112
113
Rhode Island
19 - 14
103
1.08444
113
113
114
Boise St.
17 - 14
109
1.08052
115
114
115
Charleston
22 - 11
191
1.08009
116
116
116
Southern Miss
20 - 11
149
1.07925
117
118
117
St. John's
16 - 15
77
1.07732
114
115
118
Illinois St.
15 - 16
87
1.07164
118
119
119
Ohio
19 - 13
158
1.07086
119
117
120
Evansville
14 - 17
85
1.06076
120
123
121
Utah Valley St.
22 - 7
326
1.06071
121
121
122
George Mason
18 - 15
131
1.05944
122
120
123
Fordham
18 - 12
135
1.05483
123
122
124
Baylor
15 - 16
69
1.04264
124
127
125
Miami (FL)
12 - 20
38
1.04199
126
124
126
Belmont
23 - 10
271
1.04164
125
126
127
Utah
11 - 19
60
1.014
131
133
128
North Dakota St.
20 - 8
298
1.01293
128
128
129
Iowa St.
15 - 16
66
1.01279
127
130
130
UAB
15 - 16
100
1.01161
129
131
131
Indiana St.
13 - 18
56
1.0105
130
132
132
Sam Houston St.
21 - 10
219
1.00959
133
129
133
Albany
21 - 10
247
1.00951
132
125
134
UCSB
18 - 11
232
1.00053
134
134
135
New Mexico
15 - 17
92
0.998089
135
137
136
North Texas
23 - 11
273
0.991507
136
135
137
Seton Hall
13 - 16
83
0.983518
137
138
138
E. Tennessee St.
24 - 10
278
0.980328
138
140
139
South Alabama
20 - 12
212
0.977842
139
139
140
St. Mary's
17 - 15
128
0.976672
140
141
141
Niagara
23 - 12
252
0.97567
141
136
142
Cincinnati
11 - 19
41
0.968567
142
142
143
Oakland
19 - 14
156
0.967841
143
143
144
Tulane
17 - 13
145
0.960583
144
147
145
W. Michigan
16 - 16
127
0.958823
145
145
146
Siena
20 - 12
263
0.956635
146
144
147
Cal Poly
19 - 11
251
0.956309
147
146
148
Northwestern
13 - 18
46
0.945958
148
148
149
CSU Fullerton
20 - 10
266
0.937429
149
149
150
Tennessee Tech
19 - 13
225
0.927597
150
150
151
Eastern Kentucky
21 - 12
214
0.927359
151
151
152
UTEP
14 - 17
154
0.921671
152
152
153
Austin Peay
21 - 12
222
0.919471
153
154
154
Weber St.
20 - 12
203
0.914113
154
156
155
Penn St.
11 - 19
63
0.909921
155
153
156
Central Conn. St.
22 - 12
295
0.908307
157
155
157
Charlotte
14 - 16
116
0.908073
156
157
158
High Point
22 - 10
267
0.905136
158
158
159
TCU
13 - 17
96
0.900672
161
164
160
Ill. Chicago
14 - 18
120
0.900623
159
159
161
Wis. Green Bay
18 - 15
164
0.898596
160
160
162
Northern Arizona
18 - 12
205
0.892688
162
163
163
San Diego
18 - 14
184
0.891067
163
162
164
Rice
16 - 16
129
0.890588
164
166
165
Temple
12 - 18
119
0.884629
165
161
166
South Florida
12 - 18
90
0.881358
166
165
167
Marshall
13 - 19
108
0.875257
167
167
168
Arizona St.
8 - 22
20
0.868533
168
171
169
Valparaiso
16 - 15
170
0.861509
169
169
170
Towson
15 - 17
139
0.86093
170
168
171
Delaware St.
21 - 12
235
0.860393
171
170
172
Loyola (MD)
18 - 13
308
0.854095
172
172
173
Minnesota
9 - 22
37
0.851555
173
173
174
N.C. Greensboro
16 - 14
217
0.849895
174
174
175
Northwestern St.
17 - 15
218
0.843338
175
176
176
Arkansas St.
18 - 15
240
0.843302
176
177
177
Youngstown St.
14 - 17
111
0.842049
177
178
178
Portland St.
19 - 13
270
0.840755
178
179
179
William & Mary
15 - 15
196
0.839406
179
175
180
Lipscomb
18 - 13
287
0.837204
180
180
181
San Francisco
13 - 18
113
0.831729
181
182
182
Yale
14 - 13
224
0.829913
182
181
183
Oregon St.
11 - 21
34
0.824863
183
184
184
Sacred Heart
17 - 14
276
0.822028
184
183
185
SMU
14 - 17
146
0.820582
185
186
186
UC Irvine
15 - 18
175
0.818539
186
185
187
Loyola Marymount
13 - 18
123
0.8161
187
187
188
Robert Morris
16 - 11
327
0.813521
188
188
189
American
16 - 14
264
0.807521
189
189
190
Montana
17 - 15
243
0.804135
190
191
191
Furman
15 - 16
182
0.802479
191
193
192
Southern Utah
16 - 14
244
0.801503
192
192
193
Cornell
15 - 12
309
0.800345
193
190
194
Eastern Wash.
14 - 14
188
0.79552
194
195
195
Middle Tenn. St.
15 - 17
186
0.793
195
194
196
Murray St.
16 - 14
248
0.786327
196
198
197
Detroit
11 - 19
117
0.785596
197
199
198
Columbia
16 - 11
310
0.78408
198
196
199
Louisiana Tech
10 - 20
98
0.783337
199
197
200
Jackson St.
21 - 14
284
0.778198
200
200
201
Florida Atlantic
16 - 15
204
0.777109
201
202
202
Duquesne
10 - 19
134
0.773464
202
201
203
Idaho St.
13 - 17
159
0.77221
203
203
204
Samford
16 - 16
213
0.77193
204
204
205
Colorado
7 - 20
59
0.771807
205
207
206
Rutgers
10 - 19
81
0.765964
206
206
207
Northeastern
12 - 19
122
0.765335
207
205
208
Buffalo
12 - 19
171
0.759785
208
208
209
Florida A&M
21 - 14
261
0.759059
209
209
210
IUPUI
15 - 15
220
0.757397
210
211
211
Rider
16 - 15
272
0.754224
211
210
212
LA Monroe
18 - 14
265
0.752397
212
212
213
Lamar
14 - 17
190
0.749778
213
213
214
Fairfield
13 - 19
185
0.739381
214
214
215
Troy
13 - 17
231
0.737242
215
215
216
Cent. Michigan
13 - 18
178
0.736252
216
216
217
Stephen F. Austin
14 - 14
290
0.730616
217
218
218
Jacksonville
15 - 14
228
0.730275
218
221
219
Georgia Southern
15 - 16
215
0.729976
220
220
220
SE Louisiana
16 - 14
304
0.729868
219
217
221
Pacific
12 - 19
155
0.728622
221
219
222
Chattanooga
15 - 18
167
0.727973
222
222
223
Bowling Green
13 - 18
195
0.722382
223
224
224
Boston U.
12 - 17
249
0.718185
224
223
225
New Orleans
12 - 17
233
0.717524
225
225
226
Wis. Milwaukee
9 - 22
105
0.717094
226
227
227
CSU Northridge
14 - 17
209
0.713242
227
226
228
East. Michigan
13 - 19
189
0.712844
228
228
229
Miss. Valley St.
18 - 15
314
0.709952
229
229
230
Manhattan
13 - 17
262
0.703403
230
230
231
Fair. Dickinson
14 - 15
315
0.699705
231
231
232
AR Little Rock
13 - 17
229
0.698265
232
234
233
Hampton
15 - 16
313
0.697726
233
232
234
Coastal Carolina
15 - 15
268
0.697037
234
237
235
Army
15 - 15
255
0.69359
235
233
236
Harvard
12 - 16
254
0.692932
236
235
237
Binghamton
13 - 16
323
0.69064
237
236
238
Georgia St.
11 - 20
147
0.687962
238
238
239
Ball St.
9 - 22
130
0.685702
239
239
240
Hartford
13 - 17
282
0.679058
240
240
241
McNeese St.
15 - 17
253
0.675874
241
243
242
Mo. Kansas City
12 - 20
200
0.674467
243
244
243
Quinnipiac
14 - 15
328
0.674392
242
242
244
Brown
11 - 18
257
0.673614
244
241
245
Navy
14 - 16
227
0.668901
245
245
246
Richmond
8 - 21
137
0.664531
246
246
247
Cleveland St.
10 - 21
121
0.662754
247
249
248
Pepperdine
8 - 23
161
0.662743
248
248
249
Chicago St.
9 - 20
126
0.661051
249
247
250
Liberty
14 - 17
238
0.657677
250
251
251
Lehigh
12 - 19
223
0.654109
251
250
252
Florida Intl.
12 - 16
241
0.652535
252
253
253
La Salle
9 - 20
181
0.650869
253
252
254
Monmouth
12 - 18
293
0.650492
254
254
255
N.C. Wilmington
7 - 22
133
0.647556
255
255
256
Campbell
14 - 17
300
0.646494
257
258
257
TX Arlington
13 - 17
296
0.646256
258
257
258
Canisius
12 - 19
274
0.645762
256
256
259
Princeton
11 - 17
297
0.644776
259
259
260
San Jose St.
5 - 25
97
0.636424
260
261
261
MD Baltimore Cty.
12 - 19
250
0.635713
261
260
262
Western Carolina
11 - 20
166
0.633269
262
262
263
Portland
8 - 23
136
0.626521
263
263
264
N.C. Asheville
12 - 19
172
0.619915
264
265
265
Kennesaw St.
13 - 18
307
0.619329
265
264
266
Tennessee St.
12 - 20
246
0.61903
266
266
267
Virginia Military
14 - 19
279
0.618344
267
267
268
IPFW
12 - 17
194
0.615814
268
268
269
Morehead St.
12 - 18
320
0.614118
269
269
270
Texas Pan Amer.
14 - 15
305
0.612981
270
271
271
Centenary
10 - 21
202
0.611703
271
270
272
Mount St. Mary's
11 - 20
259
0.608823
272
272
273
N.C. A&T
14 - 17
331
0.608249
273
273
274
LA Lafayette
9 - 21
198
0.606334
274
275
275
S. Carolina St.
13 - 17
332
0.603366
275
276
276
Maine
12 - 18
299
0.601623
276
274
277
Wofford
10 - 20
192
0.600012
277
277
278
Northern Illinois
7 - 23
177
0.595769
278
278
279
Montana St.
11 - 19
256
0.594576
279
279
280
Coppin St.
11 - 19
193
0.590933
280
280
281
St. Bonaventure
7 - 22
173
0.584394
281
281
282
Mercer
12 - 17
277
0.58431
282
285
283
Morgan St.
12 - 18
334
0.583471
283
284
284
James Madison
7 - 23
168
0.582682
285
283
285
Colgate
10 - 19
245
0.582549
284
282
286
Sacramento St.
10 - 18
239
0.582086
286
286
287
Dartmouth
9 - 18
236
0.575934
287
287
288
Gardner-Webb
9 - 21
169
0.572854
288
288
289
SE Missouri St.
11 - 20
281
0.572006
289
289
290
Stetson
11 - 20
242
0.568369
290
291
291
Nicholls St.
8 - 22
180
0.563769
291
294
292
Stony Brook
8 - 20
283
0.563317
292
290
293
New Hampshire
10 - 20
303
0.563014
293
292
294
Wagner
11 - 19
325
0.562312
294
293
295
St. Francis (NY)
9 - 22
286
0.558973
295
295
296
Savannah St.
11 - 17
183
0.557394
296
296
297
Central Arkansas
10 - 19
285
0.552692
297
297
298
Elon
7 - 23
162
0.552446
298
298
299
Eastern Illinois
10 - 20
312
0.551024
299
299
300
AR Pine Bluff
11 - 19
289
0.548549
302
303
301
Southern
10 - 20
258
0.548507
300
300
302
Texas Southern
14 - 17
322
0.548346
301
302
303
Norfolk St.
11 - 19
302
0.547954
304
305
304
Jacksonville St.
9 - 21
318
0.547594
303
304
305
Delaware
5 - 25
176
0.544658
305
301
306
Idaho
4 - 27
112
0.539378
306
306
307
Grambling St.
12 - 14
330
0.537437
307
307
308
Radford
8 - 22
230
0.527941
308
309
309
Long Island
10 - 19
333
0.526765
309
308
310
Longwood
9 - 21
226
0.521657
310
310
311
Alabama St.
10 - 20
321
0.51599
311
312
312
Lafayette
8 - 21
208
0.512497
312
311
313
East Carolina
6 - 24
153
0.508462
313
313
314
St. Francis (PA)
8 - 20
319
0.503962
314
314
315
UC Davis
5 - 23
237
0.503351
315
315
316
Tenn-Martin
8 - 23
301
0.498976
316
317
317
Citadel
7 - 23
150
0.498723
317
316
318
Texas St.
9 - 20
294
0.493065
318
318
319
UC Riverside
7 - 24
210
0.492501
319
319
320
UTSA
7 - 22
211
0.488315
320
320
321
Charleston S.
8 - 22
207
0.485703
322
322
322
Alcorn St.
11 - 19
335
0.485621
321
321
323
Western Ill.
7 - 23
280
0.476782
323
323
324
South Dakota St.
6 - 24
275
0.47217
324
324
325
Howard
9 - 21
336
0.466718
325
325
326
Bethune-Cookman
9 - 20
316
0.458931
326
327
327
St. Peter's
5 - 25
311
0.45535
327
326
328
Denver
4 - 25
291
0.441624
328
328
329
Northern Colorado
4 - 24
292
0.440242
329
329
330
Prairie View A&M
8 - 22
306
0.432947
330
330
331
Iona
2 - 28
221
0.428468
331
331
332
Winston-Salem
4 - 24
125
0.419613
332
332
333
Alabama A&M
9 - 20
329
0.412652
333
333
334
N.J.I.T.
5 - 24
324
0.410576
334
334
335
MD Eastern Shore
4 - 26
317
0.376359
335
335
336
North Florida
3 - 26
269
0.375251
336
336
© 1996-2005
Robert A. Rohde