Robert's Rankings

College Basketball 2002-2003

2001-2002 Season

Number of Teams: 327	Number of Games: 4717
Number of Upsets: 1133 (24.%)	Grouping Factor: 0.245794

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.2471	0.439	0.692	0.877	1.175	1.553

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Kentucky	32 - 4	15	2.61803	1	1
2	Arizona	28 - 4	36	2.44053	2	2
3	Kansas	30 - 8	2	2.35628	3	3
4	Syracuse	30 - 5	14	2.34945	5	6
5	Pittsburgh	28 - 5	54	2.3105	4	4
6	Marquette	27 - 6	22	2.16784	7	5
7	Oklahoma	27 - 7	13	2.16372	6	8
8	Texas	26 - 7	7	2.14307	8	7
9	Duke	26 - 7	23	2.14069	9	9
10	Louisville	25 - 7	47	2.05854	10	10
11	Illinois	25 - 7	55	2.04089	11	11
12	Wake Forest	25 - 6	44	2.01695	12	12
13	Florida	25 - 8	33	1.93285	13	13
14	Georgia	19 - 8	1	1.92361	14	14
15	Wisconsin	24 - 8	48	1.90994	15	15
16	Notre Dame	24 - 10	3	1.89387	16	17
17	Dayton	25 - 6	79	1.88622	17	16
18	Xavier	26 - 6	81	1.88463	18	18
19	Maryland	21 - 10	42	1.8559	19	19
20	Stanford	25 - 9	50	1.80287	20	20
21	Connecticut	23 - 10	26	1.798	21	21
22	Memphis	23 - 7	76	1.78044	22	22
23	Creighton	29 - 5	137	1.7761	23	23
24	Oklahoma State	22 - 9	27	1.75219	24	24
25	Missouri	22 - 11	4	1.74274	25	25
26	Mississippi State	21 - 10	31	1.74198	26	26
27	Michigan State	21 - 13	9	1.70411	27	27
28	St. Joseph's (PA)	23 - 7	105	1.69086	28	28
29	Utah	25 - 8	77	1.67748	29	29
30	Butler	27 - 6	108	1.65954	30	30
31	Purdue	19 - 11	20	1.65735	31	31
32	Brigham Young	23 - 9	84	1.61006	32	32
33	California	22 - 9	57	1.5921	33	34
34	Texas Tech	22 - 12	29	1.59012	34	33
35	Arizona State	20 - 11	8	1.58307	35	35
36	LSU	21 - 11	62	1.57791	36	36
37	Oregon	23 - 10	72	1.55548	37	37
38	Indiana	21 - 13	12	1.55378	39	38
39	Gonzaga	24 - 9	94	1.55327	38	39
40	Colorado	20 - 12	40	1.52214	40	40
41	Auburn	22 - 12	25	1.51732	41	41
42	Central Michigan	25 - 7	120	1.48465	42	43
43	Cincinnati	17 - 12	32	1.48423	43	42
44	Alabama	17 - 12	24	1.4838	44	44
45	Southern Illinois	24 - 7	126	1.46797	46	45
46	Tulsa	23 - 10	109	1.46744	45	46
47	North Carolina	19 - 16	5	1.4651	47	47
48	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	24 - 7	131	1.45105	48	48
49	Holy Cross	26 - 5	254	1.44587	49	49
50	North Carolina State	18 - 13	30	1.43467	51	51
51	Weber State	27 - 6	204	1.43422	50	50
52	Boston College	19 - 12	60	1.42375	52	52
53	Providence	18 - 14	52	1.39736	54	54
54	Minnesota	19 - 12	65	1.39576	53	53
55	North Carolina-Wilmington	24 - 7	206	1.39186	55	55
56	Pennsylvania	22 - 6	193	1.39121	56	56
57	Manhattan	23 - 7	157	1.39107	59	59
58	Tennessee	17 - 12	35	1.38814	57	58
59	UNLV	22 - 12	86	1.38721	58	57
60	Seton Hall	17 - 13	18	1.38616	60	61
61	St. John's	19 - 13	58	1.38363	61	60
62	Georgetown	18 - 14	43	1.35712	62	63
63	Western Kentucky	24 - 9	132	1.34723	63	62
64	Georgia Tech	16 - 15	21	1.34192	64	64
65	Michigan	17 - 13	49	1.33763	65	65
66	Ohio State	17 - 15	16	1.30063	67	67
67	Saint Louis	16 - 14	45	1.30054	66	66
68	Kent State	21 - 9	148	1.28929	68	69
69	Hawaii	23 - 12	122	1.28651	69	70
70	DePaul	16 - 13	59	1.28596	70	68
71	Virginia	16 - 16	17	1.27648	71	72
72	UAB	21 - 13	90	1.27277	72	71
73	Villanova	16 - 16	39	1.26841	73	73
74	Fresno State	20 - 9	136	1.25748	74	74
75	Illinois-Chicago	21 - 9	150	1.25669	75	75
76	Western Michigan	20 - 11	135	1.25503	77	77
77	Wyoming	21 - 11	100	1.25441	76	76
78	Utah State	24 - 9	191	1.23184	78	78
79	Troy State	26 - 6	267	1.23011	79	79
80	Louisiana-Lafayette	20 - 10	147	1.22386	80	80
81	Iowa	17 - 14	74	1.22	82	81
82	Temple	18 - 16	67	1.21987	83	82
83	Iowa State	17 - 14	56	1.21736	81	83
84	Florida State	14 - 15	34	1.20026	84	84
85	Charleston	25 - 8	218	1.19309	85	85
86	New Mexico State	20 - 8	199	1.18987	86	86
87	Texas A&M	14 - 14	38	1.18246	87	87
88	Austin Peay	23 - 8	170	1.18143	88	88
89	Rhode Island	19 - 12	101	1.17434	89	89
90	Colorado State	20 - 14	91	1.16587	90	90
91	Siena	21 - 11	177	1.16247	91	91
92	Mississippi	14 - 15	64	1.15015	92	92
93	Clemson	15 - 13	69	1.14411	94	94
94	Rice	19 - 10	124	1.14383	93	93
95	Richmond	15 - 14	88	1.13418	96	95
96	San Diego	18 - 12	112	1.13335	95	96
97	Kansas State	13 - 17	53	1.12682	97	97
98	Valparaiso	20 - 11	149	1.11077	98	98
99	South Carolina	12 - 16	19	1.10776	99	99
100	Nevada	18 - 14	111	1.10639	100	100
101	Rutgers	12 - 16	37	1.10512	103	107
102	Chattanooga	21 - 9	237	1.10211	101	101
103	UC-Irvine	20 - 9	196	1.1006	102	103
104	South Florida	15 - 14	82	1.09832	105	102
105	Sam Houston State	23 - 7	287	1.09622	106	106
106	Baylor	14 - 14	63	1.09555	104	105
107	Charlotte	13 - 16	61	1.09381	107	104
108	Detroit	18 - 12	140	1.09254	108	108
109	West Virginia	14 - 15	46	1.08717	111	111
110	SMS	17 - 12	141	1.08715	109	109
111	San Diego State	16 - 15	83	1.08635	110	110
112	Fairfield	19 - 12	145	1.07556	112	112
113	USC	12 - 17	51	1.06814	113	113
114	Vanderbilt	11 - 18	6	1.06435	114	114
115	Mercer	23 - 6	311	1.05485	115	115
116	Tulane	16 - 15	95	1.04853	116	116
117	Stephen F. Austin	21 - 8	288	1.03858	117	117
118	Wichita State	18 - 12	146	1.03756	118	118
119	Southern Methodist	17 - 14	116	1.03207	119	119
120	Morehead State	20 - 9	229	1.03005	120	120
121	East Tennessee State	20 - 10	221	1.02625	121	121
122	Boston University	20 - 11	211	1.0262	123	123
123	UC-Santa Barbara	18 - 14	192	1.02468	122	122
124	Northern Illinois	17 - 14	125	1.02248	124	124
125	Wagner	21 - 10	253	1.02156	125	125
126	George Mason	16 - 12	163	1.01758	127	126
127	UCLA	10 - 19	10	1.01736	126	127
128	Drexel	19 - 12	180	1.0101	130	130
129	UCF	21 - 11	275	1.00992	129	128
130	Eastern Washington	18 - 13	159	1.00948	128	129
131	Murray State	17 - 12	172	1.00105	131	131
132	Tennessee Tech	20 - 12	185	0.998317	132	132
133	Davidson	17 - 10	161	0.994153	133	133
134	Virginia Commonwealth	18 - 10	234	0.989509	134	134
135	Miami (FL)	11 - 17	73	0.988969	136	137
136	Iona	17 - 12	217	0.988475	135	135
137	Miami (OH)	13 - 15	97	0.985571	137	136
138	Niagara	17 - 12	188	0.981452	138	138
139	Washington	10 - 17	66	0.976592	139	139
140	Oregon State	13 - 15	75	0.975666	140	140
141	Princeton	16 - 11	181	0.971459	141	141
142	Appalachian State	19 - 10	208	0.96998	143	142
143	Nebraska	11 - 19	28	0.966534	142	144
144	Southern Mississippi	13 - 16	98	0.966495	144	143
145	Oral Roberts	18 - 10	283	0.963277	145	145
146	Arkansas	9 - 19	11	0.961139	146	146
147	Pepperdine	15 - 13	142	0.957533	147	147
148	Virginia Tech	11 - 18	78	0.956723	149	149
149	San Francisco	15 - 14	128	0.955107	148	148
150	Toledo	13 - 16	119	0.953448	150	150
151	Vermont	21 - 12	252	0.952115	151	152
152	Northwestern	12 - 17	70	0.949179	152	153
153	Ohio	14 - 16	107	0.945753	153	154
154	East Carolina	12 - 15	71	0.943678	154	151
155	Arkansas-Little Rock	18 - 12	182	0.940137	155	155
156	George Washington	12 - 17	89	0.939675	156	156
157	Middle Tennessee State	16 - 14	151	0.92708	157	157
158	Loyola (IL)	15 - 16	129	0.922321	158	158
159	St. Mary's	15 - 15	130	0.921816	159	159
160	Akron	14 - 14	174	0.921232	160	160
161	Denver	17 - 15	201	0.914119	161	161
162	Evansville	12 - 16	110	0.909588	162	162
163	Belmont	17 - 12	219	0.904527	163	163
164	Delaware	15 - 14	190	0.9009	165	165
165	IUPUI	20 - 14	189	0.900722	164	164
166	South Alabama	14 - 14	121	0.897048	166	166
167	Marshall	14 - 15	156	0.895272	168	168
168	Brown	17 - 12	235	0.894875	169	169
169	Ball State	13 - 18	103	0.894871	167	167
170	St. Bonaventure	13 - 16	87	0.886661	170	170
171	Yale	14 - 13	158	0.883251	171	171
172	Air Force	12 - 16	106	0.871491	172	172
173	Massachusetts	12 - 18	96	0.870941	173	173
174	Winthrop	20 - 10	314	0.868914	174	174
175	Cal Poly	16 - 14	222	0.867043	175	175
176	Birmingham Southern	19 - 9	321	0.86056	176	176
177	Jacksonville State	19 - 10	307	0.858856	177	177
178	La Salle	12 - 17	99	0.856975	178	179
179	Louisiana Tech	12 - 16	102	0.854989	179	178
180	Oakland	17 - 11	277	0.854632	180	180
181	Eastern Michigan	14 - 14	173	0.851754	181	182
182	Eastern Illinois	14 - 15	143	0.849866	182	181
183	Old Dominion	12 - 15	179	0.848115	183	183
184	Boise State	13 - 16	144	0.846715	184	184
185	Bowling Green	13 - 16	117	0.845249	185	185
186	Pacific	12 - 16	183	0.834903	186	187
187	South Carolina State	20 - 11	308	0.833184	188	189
188	Southwest Texas State	17 - 12	299	0.83292	187	188
189	TCU	9 - 19	80	0.831707	189	186
190	Idaho State	15 - 14	210	0.828786	190	190
191	Northern Arizona	15 - 13	231	0.828738	191	191
192	Hampton	19 - 11	317	0.822588	192	192
193	American University	15 - 14	260	0.82133	193	193
194	Bradley	12 - 18	123	0.820329	194	194
195	Hartford	16 - 13	250	0.816963	195	195
196	Montana	13 - 17	165	0.814682	196	196
197	Marist	13 - 16	169	0.810593	198	198
198	New Mexico	10 - 20	85	0.810359	197	197
199	Texas-Arlington	16 - 13	246	0.804248	199	199
200	New Orleans	14 - 15	167	0.801651	200	200
201	Cal State Northridge	14 - 15	226	0.797106	201	201
202	Quinnipiac	17 - 12	304	0.795339	202	202
203	Santa Clara	13 - 15	178	0.79358	203	203
204	Arkansas State	13 - 15	214	0.788694	204	204
205	McNeese State	15 - 14	223	0.785143	205	205
206	Rider	12 - 16	216	0.783496	207	207
207	Penn State	7 - 21	41	0.782966	206	206
208	Binghamton	14 - 13	265	0.780096	208	208
209	Prairie View A&M	17 - 12	293	0.771439	209	209
210	Wofford	14 - 15	175	0.76862	210	211
211	Georgia Southern	16 - 13	257	0.768414	211	210
212	Washington State	7 - 20	68	0.766906	212	212
213	Northeastern	16 - 15	270	0.766101	213	213
214	Central Connecticut State	15 - 13	305	0.762324	215	215
215	Idaho	13 - 15	248	0.761404	214	214
216	Northern Iowa	11 - 17	139	0.761058	216	216
217	Monmouth	15 - 13	294	0.756708	218	219
218	Florida A&M	17 - 12	300	0.756664	217	217
219	Lehigh	16 - 12	289	0.756248	220	220
220	Texas Southern	18 - 13	324	0.755642	219	218
221	Loyola Marymount	11 - 20	164	0.748587	221	222
222	Bucknell	15 - 15	251	0.747989	223	224
223	Wisconsin-Green Bay	10 - 20	118	0.747482	222	223
224	Houston	8 - 20	92	0.747064	224	221
225	Portland	11 - 17	154	0.745296	225	225
226	Harvard	11 - 15	224	0.743735	226	226
227	Canisius	10 - 18	153	0.73806	228	228
228	Wright State	10 - 18	133	0.736756	227	227
229	Tennessee-Martin	14 - 14	198	0.732341	229	229
230	Georgia State	14 - 15	239	0.731266	230	230
231	North Carolina-Asheville	15 - 17	155	0.730268	231	231
232	Delaware State	14 - 12	290	0.727405	232	232
233	James Madison	13 - 17	228	0.72558	233	233
234	Furman	14 - 17	176	0.722617	234	234
235	Duquesne	9 - 21	104	0.722492	235	235
236	Maine	14 - 16	259	0.721851	237	238
237	William & Mary	12 - 16	276	0.721624	238	237
238	Charleston Southern	14 - 14	273	0.721411	236	236
239	Samford	13 - 15	242	0.719017	239	239
240	Mississippi Valley State	15 - 14	319	0.715984	240	240
241	Montana State	11 - 16	203	0.711883	241	241
242	St. Francis (NY)	14 - 16	310	0.711673	242	242
243	St. Francis (PA)	14 - 14	297	0.708645	243	243
244	Coastal Carolina	13 - 15	282	0.695615	244	244
245	Colgate	14 - 14	279	0.694196	246	246
246	Fairleigh Dickinson	15 - 15	318	0.693993	245	245
247	St. Peter's	10 - 19	184	0.692122	247	247
248	Illinois State	8 - 21	114	0.690196	248	248
249	Stony Brook	13 - 15	284	0.690045	249	250
250	Lamar	13 - 14	302	0.687894	250	249
251	Sacramento State	12 - 17	213	0.676697	251	251
252	Alabama State	14 - 15	315	0.668609	252	252
253	Southeast Missouri State	11 - 19	200	0.667638	253	253
254	Lafayette	13 - 16	266	0.664329	254	255
255	Liberty	14 - 15	312	0.663501	255	254
256	Drake	10 - 20	134	0.663242	256	256
257	Louisiana-Monroe	12 - 16	285	0.660786	257	257
258	Cal State Fullerton	10 - 19	243	0.657402	258	258
259	Jacksonville	13 - 16	258	0.656955	259	259
260	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	14 - 15	255	0.655743	260	260
261	Elon	12 - 15	240	0.644119	261	261
262	Southeastern Louisiana	11 - 16	232	0.643301	263	262
263	Centenary	14 - 14	262	0.643037	262	263
264	Cleveland State	8 - 22	127	0.642406	264	264
265	Howard	13 - 17	316	0.642369	265	266
266	Coppin State	11 - 17	225	0.640404	266	267
267	Texas-San Antonio	10 - 17	227	0.63955	267	265
268	North Texas	7 - 21	113	0.632465	268	268
269	Hofstra	8 - 21	187	0.628277	269	269
270	Florida International	8 - 21	171	0.623972	270	270
271	Norfolk State	14 - 15	322	0.622752	271	272
272	Indiana State	7 - 24	115	0.622302	272	271
273	Alcorn State	14 - 19	291	0.621643	273	273
274	Southern Utah	11 - 17	247	0.621072	274	274
275	UMKC	9 - 20	202	0.614373	275	275
276	Youngstown State	9 - 20	168	0.612487	276	276
277	San Jose State	7 - 21	152	0.610371	277	277
278	Eastern Kentucky	11 - 17	197	0.608866	278	278
279	North Carolina Greensboro	7 - 22	160	0.603645	279	280
280	Jackson State	10 - 18	295	0.600818	280	279
281	Mount St. Mary's	11 - 16	301	0.59771	281	281
282	IPFW	9 - 21	220	0.593267	282	282
283	Virginia Military	10 - 20	236	0.588968	283	283
284	Robert Morris	10 - 17	306	0.578559	284	284
285	California-Riverside	6 - 18	186	0.576892	285	285
286	Western Carolina	9 - 19	230	0.576882	286	286
287	Buffalo	5 - 23	166	0.576046	287	287
288	Cornell	9 - 18	241	0.566271	288	289
289	Long Island	9 - 19	296	0.564271	289	288
290	Grambling State	12 - 18	272	0.559219	290	290
291	Navy	8 - 20	264	0.55348	291	291
292	Radford	10 - 20	303	0.54566	292	292
293	Fordham	2 - 26	93	0.544044	294	294
294	Portland State	5 - 22	162	0.543686	293	293
295	UTEP	6 - 24	138	0.540281	295	295
296	Dartmouth	8 - 19	269	0.539638	296	296
297	High Point	7 - 20	281	0.536334	297	297
298	Florida Atlantic	7 - 21	245	0.526474	298	298
299	Gardner-Webb	5 - 24	207	0.521556	299	299
300	Stetson	6 - 19	263	0.519044	300	300
301	Sacred Heart	8 - 21	280	0.516515	302	302
302	Citadel	8 - 20	209	0.516389	301	301
303	Maryland-Baltimore County	6 - 20	286	0.507511	304	304
304	Long Beach State	5 - 22	205	0.507335	303	303
305	Albany	7 - 21	244	0.493201	307	307
306	Texas-Pan American	10 - 20	271	0.492192	305	306
307	Northwestern State	6 - 21	278	0.492031	306	305
308	Western Illinois	7 - 21	233	0.490247	308	308
309	Lipscomb	8 - 20	313	0.485839	309	309
310	Loyola (MD)	4 - 23	194	0.479084	310	310
311	Alabama A&M	8 - 19	323	0.475721	311	311
312	Bethune-Cookman	8 - 22	309	0.474192	312	312
313	New Hampshire	5 - 23	274	0.463152	313	313
314	Chicago State	3 - 27	212	0.45529	314	314
315	Southern University	9 - 20	327	0.446356	315	315
316	Morgan State	7 - 21	326	0.43389	316	316
317	Army	5 - 22	256	0.42593	317	317
318	Campbell	5 - 22	298	0.419029	318	318
319	Towson	3 - 24	238	0.416367	319	319
320	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	4 - 24	215	0.412885	320	320
321	Maryland-Eastern Shore	5 - 23	325	0.41076	321	321
322	Tennessee State	2 - 25	195	0.407523	322	322
323	Morris Brown	6 - 20	320	0.402333	323	323
324	Columbia	2 - 25	268	0.389532	324	324
325	Nicholls State	3 - 25	249	0.383939	325	325
326	Savannah State	3 - 23	292	0.383776	326	326
327	North Carolina A&T	1 - 26	261	0.365055	327	327

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde