Robert's Rankings

College Basketball 2003-2004

2002-2003 Season 2001-2002 Season

Number of Teams: 326	Number of Games: 4661
Number of Upsets: 1093 (23.4%)	Grouping Factor: 0.240624

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.2427	0.431	0.680	0.862	1.155	1.526

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Duke	31 - 6	8	2.62339	1	1
2	Connecticut	33 - 6	12	2.5185	3	4
3	Oklahoma St.	30 - 4	31	2.46859	2	3
4	St. Joseph's	30 - 2	59	2.45935	4	2
5	Pittsburgh	31 - 5	25	2.35111	5	5
6	Kentucky	27 - 5	27	2.29386	6	6
7	Stanford	30 - 2	103	2.23875	7	7
8	Georgia Tech	28 - 10	4	2.17359	8	9
9	Gonzaga	28 - 3	106	2.10538	9	8
10	Mississippi St.	25 - 5	48	2.02465	10	10
11	Wisconsin	25 - 7	38	2.02307	11	11
12	N.C. St.	20 - 9	7	1.96747	12	13
13	Texas	25 - 8	18	1.96012	13	12
14	Illinois	26 - 7	40	1.93991	14	14
15	Wake Forest	21 - 10	5	1.88434	15	15
16	Cincinnati	24 - 8	46	1.85274	16	16
17	Syracuse	23 - 8	16	1.83577	17	18
18	Providence	20 - 9	20	1.80015	20	21
19	North Carolina	18 - 12	1	1.79989	18	22
20	Maryland	20 - 12	2	1.79844	19	20
21	Xavier	26 - 11	36	1.7922	21	17
22	Kansas	23 - 10	17	1.76259	22	19
23	Nevada	24 - 9	64	1.73932	23	23
24	Boston College	23 - 9	28	1.7376	24	24
25	Louisville	20 - 10	37	1.72218	25	25
26	West. Michigan	26 - 4	182	1.71009	26	27
27	Florida	20 - 11	11	1.70745	27	26
28	Seton Hall	21 - 10	21	1.70097	29	30
29	Vanderbilt	23 - 10	29	1.70063	28	29
30	Alabama	20 - 13	6	1.6731	31	28
31	Texas Tech	23 - 11	23	1.67198	30	31
32	South Carolina	23 - 10	45	1.63718	32	32
33	Southern Ill.	25 - 5	136	1.62942	33	33
34	Memphis	22 - 8	60	1.61257	34	34
35	UAB	22 - 10	52	1.58836	35	35
36	Manhattan	26 - 5	170	1.58604	36	36
37	Utah St.	25 - 4	207	1.57843	37	37
38	Michigan	23 - 11	58	1.55949	38	45
39	Utah	24 - 9	102	1.55647	39	38
40	Charlotte	21 - 9	74	1.54757	40	40
41	Arizona	20 - 10	57	1.54294	41	39
42	DePaul	22 - 10	51	1.51883	42	41
43	Notre Dame	19 - 13	14	1.50156	43	44
44	Brigham Young	20 - 9	75	1.49353	44	42
45	UTEP	24 - 8	110	1.48773	45	43
46	Dayton	24 - 9	91	1.47134	46	46
47	Air Force	22 - 7	153	1.46338	47	47
48	Michigan St.	18 - 12	24	1.44305	48	50
49	Florida St.	18 - 15	10	1.43605	49	51
50	LSU	18 - 11	41	1.42918	50	49
51	Oklahoma	20 - 11	35	1.42083	51	52
52	Iowa St.	20 - 13	32	1.41664	52	48
53	Virginia	18 - 13	9	1.40881	53	54
54	Pacific	24 - 8	125	1.40492	54	53
55	Richmond	20 - 13	50	1.38814	55	55
56	Rutgers	20 - 13	33	1.3841	56	57
57	Washington	19 - 12	61	1.37551	57	56
58	VA Commonwealth	23 - 7	161	1.37001	58	59
59	Georgia	16 - 14	13	1.36585	59	60
60	Rice	21 - 11	90	1.36389	60	62
61	Murray St.	27 - 7	215	1.36275	61	61
62	Colorado	18 - 11	43	1.36039	62	58
63	Kent St.	22 - 9	134	1.35473	63	63
64	Missouri	16 - 14	22	1.34545	64	64
65	Nebraska	18 - 13	81	1.33291	65	66
66	Boise St.	22 - 11	112	1.33249	66	67
67	Villanova	18 - 17	15	1.32011	68	70
68	E. Tennessee St.	27 - 7	228	1.31896	67	68
69	Geo. Washington	18 - 12	73	1.30812	69	69
70	Hawaii	21 - 12	99	1.30569	70	71
71	Oregon	18 - 13	49	1.30275	72	65
72	Northern Iowa	21 - 10	124	1.30161	71	72
73	Miami (OH)	20 - 9	128	1.29133	73	73
74	Creighton	20 - 9	145	1.28439	74	74
75	Wichita St.	20 - 11	131	1.28432	75	75
76	Purdue	17 - 14	70	1.28108	76	78
77	Saint Louis	19 - 13	63	1.28039	77	76
78	Marquette	19 - 12	86	1.27772	78	77
79	Rhode Island	20 - 14	92	1.27117	79	79
80	West Virginia	17 - 14	39	1.2481	81	81
81	Troy St.	24 - 7	263	1.24763	80	80
82	Iowa	16 - 13	56	1.2333	82	86
83	George Mason	22 - 10	148	1.22878	83	82
84	Illinois-Chicago	23 - 9	202	1.22866	84	83
85	Tennessee	15 - 14	26	1.22701	85	84
86	LA Lafayette	20 - 9	156	1.22333	86	85
87	Auburn	14 - 14	44	1.2001	87	87
88	Boston U.	23 - 6	257	1.19262	88	90
89	UCF	24 - 7	237	1.18919	89	88
90	Belmont	22 - 8	220	1.18797	90	89
91	UNLV	18 - 13	94	1.17904	91	91
92	Detroit	19 - 11	147	1.16963	92	92
93	Fresno St.	15 - 13	88	1.16508	93	93
94	Drexel	19 - 10	166	1.16425	94	94
95	Wisc. Milwaukee	19 - 12	123	1.16259	95	96
96	Virginia Tech	16 - 13	53	1.15806	97	98
97	St. Mary's	19 - 12	120	1.15771	96	97
98	Kansas St.	14 - 14	71	1.15314	98	95
99	Northwestern	15 - 14	69	1.15273	99	100
100	Toledo	20 - 11	132	1.14749	100	99
101	Indiana	14 - 15	30	1.14257	101	102
102	SMS	19 - 14	130	1.13929	102	101
103	Old Dominion	17 - 12	126	1.12376	103	103
104	Niagara	22 - 10	221	1.11854	104	104
105	Austin Peay	21 - 10	165	1.10332	105	105
106	California	13 - 15	55	1.09156	106	106
107	Clemson	10 - 18	3	1.08237	107	109
108	UCSB	17 - 11	177	1.08077	108	107
109	Temple	14 - 15	67	1.07743	109	108
110	Mississippi	13 - 15	42	1.06714	110	110
111	Pepperdine	17 - 14	115	1.05869	111	111
112	Arkansas	12 - 16	34	1.05834	112	112
113	Buffalo	17 - 12	191	1.05033	113	115
114	Eastern Wash.	18 - 12	152	1.04828	114	114
115	USC	13 - 15	68	1.04694	115	113
116	Georgia St.	20 - 9	245	1.03305	116	116
117	Princeton	19 - 8	238	1.03297	117	117
118	N.C. Wilmington	16 - 14	143	1.02953	118	118
119	Fairfield	18 - 12	179	1.02653	119	120
120	Charleston	19 - 10	229	1.02597	120	119
121	Pennsylvania	16 - 11	199	1.00963	121	121
122	Vermont	22 - 9	269	1.00337	122	123
123	UCLA	11 - 17	47	0.994052	123	122
124	IUPUI	20 - 12	224	0.991865	124	125
125	San Diego St.	14 - 16	84	0.991172	125	124
126	Georgetown	13 - 15	62	0.989926	126	126
127	Miami (FL)	14 - 16	80	0.984648	127	127
128	Ohio St.	14 - 16	77	0.976792	128	130
129	Birmingham So.	20 - 7	316	0.973145	129	129
130	Delaware	16 - 12	176	0.972766	130	128
131	Ball St.	14 - 15	117	0.970867	131	131
132	Georgia Southern	19 - 9	289	0.968299	132	132
133	New Mexico	14 - 14	116	0.967215	133	133
134	Chattanooga	19 - 11	216	0.96296	134	134
135	Santa Clara	16 - 16	107	0.961997	135	135
136	Wisc. Green Bay	16 - 11	194	0.954218	136	138
137	Wyoming	11 - 17	97	0.95151	137	137
138	San Francisco	16 - 14	118	0.951087	138	136
139	St. Peter's	17 - 12	193	0.95063	139	141
140	Stephen F. Austin	19 - 9	317	0.948161	140	140
141	Louisiana Tech	14 - 15	113	0.947351	141	142
142	Washington St.	13 - 16	72	0.94544	142	139
143	Monmouth	21 - 12	247	0.945435	144	145
144	TCU	12 - 17	78	0.945003	143	143
145	Middle Tenn. St.	17 - 12	213	0.942617	145	144
146	Miss. Valley St.	21 - 8	324	0.936629	146	146
147	Oral Roberts	16 - 11	240	0.936395	147	147
148	Hofstra	14 - 15	127	0.93002	148	150
149	West. Kentucky	15 - 13	158	0.929953	149	148
150	Minnesota	12 - 18	82	0.929768	150	154
151	Colorado St.	13 - 16	95	0.926053	151	151
152	Duquesne	12 - 17	101	0.924768	152	149
153	Davidson	16 - 12	137	0.923903	153	155
154	Liberty	19 - 14	197	0.92222	154	153
155	Butler	16 - 14	190	0.919427	155	157
156	Arkansas St.	17 - 11	256	0.918767	156	156
157	Oregon St.	12 - 16	93	0.91708	157	152
158	Bradley	15 - 16	146	0.911802	158	158
159	Valparaiso	17 - 14	163	0.907508	159	159
160	AR Little Rock	17 - 12	242	0.891264	160	161
161	East Carolina	12 - 15	108	0.889247	162	164
162	New Orleans	16 - 15	164	0.889117	161	162
163	Loyola Marymnt	15 - 14	157	0.888536	163	163
164	Arizona St.	10 - 17	87	0.886963	164	160
165	Idaho	14 - 16	133	0.885111	165	165
166	Marshall	12 - 17	109	0.88463	166	166
167	Wright St.	14 - 14	204	0.881656	167	168
168	Idaho St.	17 - 14	205	0.881538	168	167
169	Lafayette	18 - 10	293	0.879653	169	170
170	Tulane	12 - 16	104	0.878263	170	169
171	UMKC	15 - 14	262	0.875635	171	171
172	Akron	13 - 15	150	0.874086	172	172
173	Centenary	16 - 12	230	0.869311	173	173
174	Northeastern	18 - 11	274	0.866873	174	175
175	South. Methodist	11 - 19	83	0.864982	175	174
176	Bowling Green	15 - 16	140	0.864103	176	176
177	Maine	19 - 10	310	0.856606	178	179
178	Portland	11 - 17	111	0.856144	177	177
179	TX San Antonio	20 - 12	278	0.855233	179	178
180	S. Carolina St.	19 - 10	315	0.850864	180	181
181	CSU Northridge	14 - 16	162	0.849301	181	180
182	SE Louisiana	19 - 10	296	0.848193	182	182
183	Denver	13 - 13	217	0.846984	183	183
184	Southern Miss	11 - 16	105	0.845529	184	184
185	Rider	17 - 14	248	0.843686	185	185
186	Furman	16 - 12	258	0.840402	186	186
187	Massachusetts	10 - 19	85	0.822674	187	187
188	Morehead St.	15 - 13	214	0.820477	188	188
189	Fairleigh Dickinson	17 - 12	295	0.813438	189	190
190	TX Arlington	17 - 12	276	0.812689	190	189
191	Lehigh	20 - 11	311	0.810579	192	195
192	Siena	14 - 16	172	0.810349	191	192
193	Northern Arizona	15 - 14	243	0.807953	193	191
194	Drake	11 - 17	135	0.80597	194	193
195	Weber St.	14 - 15	189	0.805433	195	194
196	Winthrop	16 - 12	264	0.801535	196	196
197	Tulsa	9 - 20	96	0.800425	197	197
198	Texas A&M C.C.	15 - 11	210	0.792726	198	198
199	St. John's	6 - 21	19	0.790082	199	200
200	Houston	9 - 18	100	0.788443	200	199
201	Montana St.	13 - 13	249	0.782637	201	201
202	Illinois St.	10 - 19	119	0.780067	202	202
203	Chicago St.	14 - 18	154	0.779422	203	203
204	Holy Cross	13 - 15	275	0.772348	205	207
205	High Point	19 - 11	308	0.772296	204	205
206	Oakland	12 - 17	168	0.77061	206	206
207	South Alabama	11 - 16	174	0.76995	207	204
208	American U.	16 - 15	281	0.766173	208	208
209	Iona	11 - 18	159	0.758854	209	212
210	Central Conn. St.	14 - 14	294	0.758261	210	211
211	La Salle	9 - 21	98	0.757148	211	209
212	UC Irvine	10 - 17	149	0.756856	212	210
213	Ohio	10 - 20	144	0.756155	213	213
214	St. Francis (NY)	15 - 13	318	0.755214	214	216
215	North Texas	13 - 15	246	0.754119	215	214
216	Cal Poly	10 - 16	175	0.751959	216	215
217	UC Riverside	11 - 17	173	0.750717	217	217
218	Eastern Kentucky	13 - 15	222	0.750124	218	219
219	Sacramento St.	13 - 15	231	0.749027	219	218
220	East. Michigan	13 - 15	181	0.746395	220	221
221	Baylor	7 - 21	54	0.745053	221	220
222	Brown	14 - 13	254	0.743241	223	225
223	Texas Pan Amer.	13 - 14	198	0.74319	222	222
224	Coppin St.	18 - 14	299	0.742285	224	223
225	CSU Fullerton	10 - 17	184	0.740386	226	224
226	New Mexico St.	12 - 15	195	0.740368	225	226
227	Tennessee Tech	13 - 15	186	0.740135	227	227
228	Yale	12 - 15	208	0.735294	228	228
229	Penn St.	8 - 20	66	0.7304	229	229
230	Northern Illinois	9 - 19	167	0.720272	230	230
231	Texas A&M	7 - 21	76	0.714257	231	231
232	Samford	12 - 15	196	0.710624	232	232
233	Indiana St.	9 - 19	138	0.706712	233	234
234	St. Bonaventure	7 - 21	65	0.705153	234	233
235	South Florida	7 - 20	89	0.703548	235	236
236	Florida A&M	15 - 17	272	0.702136	236	237
237	Mercer	12 - 18	171	0.70204	237	235
238	Loyola (IL)	9 - 20	142	0.70142	238	238
239	Coastal Carolina	14 - 15	285	0.698936	239	241
240	Elon	13 - 18	203	0.698148	240	240
241	Montana	10 - 18	169	0.69789	241	239
242	Robert Morris	14 - 15	282	0.697317	242	243
243	Jacksonville St.	13 - 14	291	0.695656	243	242
244	Binghamton	14 - 16	255	0.695464	244	244
245	SE Missouri St.	11 - 16	225	0.694259	245	245
246	Canisius	10 - 20	187	0.693907	246	246
247	Portland St.	11 - 16	227	0.686637	247	247
248	Western Carolina	13 - 15	234	0.685379	248	248
249	Bucknell	12 - 16	292	0.681196	249	249
250	St. Francis (PA)	13 - 15	297	0.678739	251	251
251	N.C. Greensboro	11 - 17	226	0.67872	250	250
252	Sacred Heart	12 - 15	277	0.676203	253	254
253	Delaware St.	13 - 15	287	0.675564	252	252
254	Evansville	7 - 22	121	0.671947	254	253
255	Colgate	15 - 14	302	0.671325	255	255
256	Appalachian St.	10 - 21	155	0.666441	256	256
257	Stetson	12 - 15	219	0.665839	257	257
258	William & Mary	7 - 21	141	0.658153	258	259
259	McNeese St.	11 - 16	232	0.65808	259	258
260	Jacksonville	13 - 15	266	0.64941	260	261
261	Fordham	6 - 22	79	0.648771	261	260
262	Texas St.	12 - 15	290	0.647193	262	262
263	Northwestern St.	12 - 16	241	0.644913	263	263
264	Alabama St.	15 - 16	303	0.64465	264	264
265	Sam Houston St.	14 - 14	270	0.643777	265	265
266	Southern Utah	10 - 18	192	0.641917	266	266
267	Lamar	12 - 17	261	0.64137	267	267
268	Morgan St.	12 - 15	313	0.638174	268	268
269	Wagner	11 - 18	284	0.631848	269	270
270	Tenn-Martin	10 - 18	201	0.630988	271	269
271	Cornell	11 - 16	283	0.630514	270	271
272	Youngstown St.	8 - 20	151	0.625674	272	272
273	Hampton	13 - 17	307	0.617511	273	273
274	Mount St. Mary's	10 - 19	267	0.615952	274	274
275	LA Monroe	12 - 19	235	0.613232	275	275
276	Radford	12 - 16	305	0.608455	276	276
277	James Madison	7 - 21	180	0.603718	277	277
278	Norfolk St.	13 - 16	326	0.601668	278	278
279	Towson	8 - 21	183	0.600175	279	279
280	Hartford	11 - 18	260	0.596987	280	281
281	San Jose St.	5 - 24	114	0.595802	281	280
282	Cent. Michigan	6 - 24	129	0.588074	282	282
283	Stony Brook	10 - 20	271	0.585299	283	284
284	Columbia	10 - 17	273	0.584612	284	283
285	Alabama A&M	13 - 16	321	0.580314	285	285
286	New Hampshire	10 - 20	265	0.577896	286	286
287	Florida Atlantic	8 - 19	250	0.575876	287	287
288	Wofford	10 - 20	178	0.573058	288	288
289	Southern U.	12 - 16	323	0.571111	289	290
290	Jackson St.	12 - 17	320	0.570972	290	289
291	Texas Southern	13 - 16	325	0.568257	291	291
292	Tennessee St.	7 - 21	188	0.559475	292	292
293	Marist	6 - 22	200	0.556313	293	294
294	Long Beach St.	6 - 21	185	0.554852	294	293
295	Gardner-Webb	9 - 20	233	0.554022	295	295
296	N.C. Asheville	9 - 20	206	0.551775	296	296
297	Quinnipiac	9 - 20	268	0.546304	297	298
298	San Diego	4 - 26	122	0.543875	298	297
299	Long Island	8 - 19	301	0.54374	299	299
300	Cleveland St.	5 - 23	160	0.539321	300	300
301	MD Baltimore Cty.	7 - 21	288	0.522253	301	301
302	Eastern Illinois	6 - 21	223	0.518566	302	302
303	Grambling St.	11 - 18	312	0.513509	303	303
304	Alcorn St.	11 - 18	322	0.507142	304	304
305	IPFW	3 - 25	139	0.501369	305	305
306	Lipscomb	6 - 21	239	0.481951	306	306
307	Charleston S.	6 - 21	259	0.469705	307	307
308	Savannah St.	5 - 23	211	0.467472	308	308
309	Western Ill.	3 - 25	212	0.464599	309	309
310	Albany	5 - 23	279	0.464188	310	310
311	Bethune-Cookman	8 - 20	319	0.462024	311	311
312	Howard	6 - 22	314	0.457651	312	313
313	Florida Intl.	5 - 22	209	0.456906	313	312
314	Prairie View A&M	7 - 20	306	0.456016	314	314
315	MD Eastern Shore	8 - 21	309	0.455346	315	315
316	Harvard	4 - 23	253	0.454238	316	316
317	Virginia Military	6 - 22	252	0.443074	317	317
318	Citadel	5 - 22	218	0.43671	318	318
319	Campbell	3 - 24	244	0.425935	319	319
320	N.C. A&T	4 - 24	286	0.40842	320	320
321	Navy	5 - 23	251	0.40416	321	321
322	Nicholls St.	5 - 21	280	0.402338	322	322
323	Loyola (MD)	1 - 27	236	0.400749	323	323
324	Army	6 - 21	298	0.391091	324	324
325	Dartmouth	3 - 25	304	0.382477	325	325
326	AR Pine Bluff	1 - 26	300	0.313338	326	326

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde