Robert's Rankings

College Basketball 2004-2005

2003-2004 Season 2002-2003 Season 2001-2002 Season

Number of Teams: 330	Number of Games: 4774
Number of Upsets: 1151 (24.1%)	Grouping Factor: 0.241489

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.2436	0.432	0.683	0.865	1.159	1.532

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Illinois	37 - 2	27	2.90727	1	1
2	North Carolina	33 - 4	4	2.8495	2	2
3	Duke	27 - 6	6	2.41094	3	4
4	Louisville	33 - 5	55	2.33255	4	3
5	Wake Forest	27 - 6	11	2.28991	5	5
6	Washington	29 - 6	30	2.2148	6	6
7	Oklahoma St.	26 - 7	15	2.19732	7	7
8	Kentucky	28 - 6	26	2.19304	9	9
9	Kansas	23 - 7	5	2.19283	8	8
10	Arizona	30 - 7	28	2.14173	10	11
11	Boston Coll.	25 - 5	61	2.12953	11	12
12	Michigan St.	26 - 7	24	2.12345	12	10
13	Villanova	24 - 8	17	2.09225	13	13
14	Oklahoma	25 - 8	34	1.99663	14	14
15	Florida	24 - 8	45	1.99194	15	15
16	Connecticut	23 - 8	21	1.97312	16	16
17	Wisconsin	25 - 9	8	1.96097	17	17
18	Gonzaga	26 - 5	75	1.9477	18	18
19	Syracuse	27 - 7	59	1.93958	19	19
20	Alabama	24 - 8	63	1.83469	20	21
21	Cincinnati	25 - 8	58	1.82599	21	20
22	Utah	29 - 6	94	1.77818	22	22
23	Pittsburgh	20 - 9	52	1.71173	23	23
24	Pacific	27 - 4	135	1.70654	24	24
25	Southern Ill.	27 - 8	86	1.69728	25	25
26	Georgia Tech	20 - 12	1	1.69587	28	28
27	West Virginia	24 - 11	23	1.69147	26	26
28	Texas Tech	22 - 11	22	1.68686	27	27
29	Iowa	21 - 12	14	1.64372	29	29
30	N.C. State	21 - 14	7	1.60826	30	30
31	LSU	20 - 10	53	1.57209	31	31
32	Texas	20 - 11	42	1.56183	32	32
33	Nevada	25 - 7	108	1.54939	33	33
34	Mississippi St.	23 - 11	62	1.53951	34	34
35	Minnesota	21 - 11	39	1.52673	35	35
36	Maryland	19 - 13	19	1.52123	36	37
37	Charlotte	21 - 8	90	1.51025	37	36
38	Utah St.	24 - 8	175	1.50861	38	38
39	Ohio St.	20 - 12	46	1.49858	39	39
40	New Mexico	26 - 7	143	1.49336	40	40
41	Iowa St.	19 - 12	40	1.4892	41	41
42	Creighton	23 - 11	93	1.47742	42	42
43	Geo. Washington	22 - 8	122	1.46263	43	43
44	South Carolina	20 - 13	49	1.46233	44	53
45	UTEP	27 - 8	137	1.45429	45	45
46	Texas A&M	21 - 10	66	1.45334	46	46
47	Vermont	25 - 7	146	1.45287	47	47
48	UAB	22 - 11	77	1.45042	48	44
49	UCLA	18 - 11	38	1.44796	49	48
50	Old Dominion	28 - 6	207	1.44485	50	49
51	Wichita St.	22 - 10	99	1.44098	51	50
52	St. Mary's	25 - 9	104	1.43446	52	52
53	Vanderbilt	20 - 14	56	1.43099	53	54
54	Wisc. Milwaukee	24 - 5	196	1.41538	55	56
55	Stanford	18 - 13	33	1.4149	54	55
56	Notre Dame	17 - 12	51	1.40836	56	57
57	St. Joseph's	24 - 12	95	1.40616	58	51
58	Georgetown	19 - 13	41	1.40584	57	58
59	Northern Iowa	21 - 11	82	1.40399	59	59
60	DePaul	20 - 11	84	1.37469	60	60
61	Holy Cross	25 - 7	209	1.35111	61	61
62	Memphis	22 - 16	70	1.33838	63	62
63	Miami (FL)	16 - 13	25	1.33795	65	65
64	Indiana	15 - 14	9	1.33781	62	63
65	SMS	19 - 13	81	1.3335	64	64
66	Buffalo	23 - 10	127	1.3264	66	66
67	Arizona St.	18 - 14	64	1.31699	67	67
68	Kansas St.	17 - 12	48	1.29147	68	68
69	Miami (OH)	19 - 11	105	1.28779	69	69
70	Clemson	16 - 16	13	1.28275	72	73
71	Arkansas	18 - 12	78	1.28131	70	70
72	Ohio	21 - 11	130	1.27866	71	71
73	Bucknell	23 - 10	157	1.27419	73	72
74	Virginia	14 - 15	2	1.2656	74	75
75	Missouri	16 - 17	18	1.25738	75	74
76	Marquette	19 - 12	76	1.25031	76	76
77	Oral Roberts	25 - 8	242	1.24847	77	77
78	West. Kentucky	22 - 9	188	1.24287	78	78
79	Akron	19 - 10	141	1.24198	79	79
80	Virginia Tech	16 - 14	54	1.22652	81	83
81	LA Lafayette	20 - 11	109	1.22613	80	80
82	Pennsylvania	20 - 9	161	1.22114	82	81
83	TCU	21 - 14	80	1.2187	83	82
84	W. Michigan	20 - 13	136	1.21148	85	84
85	Oregon	14 - 13	36	1.20981	84	85
86	Nebraska	14 - 14	60	1.19918	86	86
87	Winthrop	27 - 6	286	1.194	87	87
88	Davidson	23 - 9	156	1.1895	88	88
89	Providence	14 - 17	12	1.18862	89	90
90	Temple	16 - 14	74	1.1876	90	89
91	Tennessee	14 - 17	20	1.18154	91	92
92	Houston	18 - 14	85	1.17694	92	91
93	Xavier	17 - 12	123	1.17428	93	93
94	Kent St.	20 - 13	102	1.1733	94	94
95	Oregon St.	17 - 15	73	1.16182	95	95
96	San Francisco	17 - 14	91	1.15856	96	96
97	Hofstra	21 - 9	204	1.15814	98	97
98	Rice	19 - 12	107	1.15734	97	98
99	UNLV	17 - 14	79	1.14003	100	100
100	Northwestern	15 - 16	32	1.13504	99	99
101	Boston U.	20 - 9	222	1.13135	101	102
102	Air Force	18 - 12	134	1.13059	102	103
103	Dayton	18 - 11	149	1.13025	103	101
104	Denver	20 - 11	187	1.12401	104	104
105	Washington St.	12 - 16	37	1.11769	105	105
106	Bowling Green	18 - 11	139	1.11599	106	106
107	Colorado	14 - 16	35	1.11295	107	107
108	Toledo	16 - 13	111	1.10043	108	108
109	Northeastern	21 - 10	202	1.0959	109	109
110	AR Little Rock	18 - 10	125	1.09448	110	110
111	Santa Clara	15 - 16	88	1.09417	111	112
112	Florida St.	12 - 19	10	1.09139	113	114
113	CSU Fullerton	21 - 11	184	1.08917	112	111
114	Niagara	20 - 10	232	1.08209	114	113
115	San Diego	16 - 13	97	1.08075	115	115
116	Hawaii	16 - 13	132	1.07325	116	116
117	VCU	19 - 13	162	1.07155	117	118
118	Massachusetts	16 - 12	114	1.0713	118	117
119	Pepperdine	17 - 14	117	1.06928	119	119
120	Illinois St.	17 - 13	106	1.06424	120	120
121	Ball St.	15 - 13	115	1.06409	121	121
122	Wyoming	15 - 13	100	1.06185	122	122
123	USC	12 - 17	44	1.05048	124	124
124	California	13 - 16	57	1.04997	123	123
125	UCF	24 - 9	279	1.04693	125	126
126	Drexel	17 - 12	167	1.04669	126	125
127	Seton Hall	12 - 16	50	1.0402	127	127
128	N.C. Wilmington	19 - 10	199	1.03394	129	129
129	Middle Tenn. St.	19 - 12	181	1.032	128	128
130	Bradley	13 - 15	92	1.02677	130	130
131	Michigan	13 - 18	43	1.02053	131	131
132	Auburn	14 - 17	69	1.01397	133	133
133	SE Louisiana	24 - 9	281	1.0135	132	132
134	Mississippi	14 - 17	71	1.00728	134	134
135	CSU Northridge	18 - 13	169	1.00234	135	135
136	St. John's	9 - 18	29	0.994274	136	137
137	Eastern Kentucky	22 - 9	233	0.990819	137	136
138	Texas A&M C.C.	20 - 8	254	0.990274	138	138
139	Charleston	18 - 10	267	0.984655	139	139
140	Chattanooga	20 - 11	215	0.975388	140	140
141	Fresno St.	16 - 14	147	0.969145	141	141
142	Rutgers	10 - 19	16	0.966516	142	142
143	Drake	13 - 16	87	0.96594	143	143
144	Rider	19 - 11	268	0.963964	144	144
145	Richmond	14 - 15	101	0.958762	145	145
146	South Florida	14 - 16	103	0.95089	146	146
147	Princeton	15 - 13	158	0.948898	148	147
148	Portland	15 - 15	120	0.948775	147	148
149	Murray St.	17 - 11	229	0.946238	149	149
150	Wisc Green Bay	17 - 11	180	0.944421	150	150
151	Louisiana Tech	14 - 15	148	0.935785	151	151
152	SMU	14 - 14	121	0.93422	152	152
153	Illinois-Chicago	15 - 14	144	0.93033	153	154
154	George Mason	16 - 13	193	0.929559	154	153
155	Northwestern St.	21 - 12	179	0.922364	155	155
156	American	16 - 12	218	0.914528	156	156
157	Purdue	7 - 21	3	0.908579	157	157
158	Detroit	14 - 16	159	0.89587	158	158
159	Wright St.	15 - 15	170	0.89154	159	159
160	Tennessee Tech	18 - 11	273	0.888232	162	160
161	UMKC	16 - 12	227	0.887758	161	161
162	Arkansas St.	16 - 13	197	0.886946	163	163
163	Fairleigh Dickinson	20 - 13	269	0.886741	160	162
164	Evansville	11 - 17	113	0.874528	164	164
165	IUPUI	16 - 13	203	0.872388	165	165
166	Loyola Marymount	11 - 17	96	0.872101	166	167
167	Northern Illinois	11 - 17	133	0.871464	167	166
168	Gardner-Webb	18 - 12	287	0.864008	168	169
169	Portland St.	19 - 9	309	0.863617	169	168
170	Montana	18 - 13	224	0.858545	170	170
171	Indiana St.	11 - 20	89	0.857392	172	172
172	Lamar	18 - 11	280	0.857337	171	171
173	N.C. Greensboro	18 - 12	182	0.856644	173	173
174	UC Irvine	16 - 13	208	0.850585	175	175
175	Delaware St.	19 - 14	219	0.849804	174	174
176	Sam Houston St.	18 - 12	230	0.848647	176	176
177	Manhattan	15 - 14	216	0.844768	177	177
178	Appalachian St.	18 - 12	257	0.844273	178	179
179	St. Peter's	15 - 13	265	0.842655	180	178
180	Valparaiso	15 - 16	145	0.840618	179	180
181	Georgia Southern	18 - 13	240	0.83623	181	182
182	Fordham	13 - 16	150	0.833796	183	181
183	San Diego St.	11 - 18	83	0.833726	182	183
184	Boise St.	16 - 18	168	0.825982	184	185
185	Florida Intl.	13 - 17	140	0.82547	185	186
186	Saint Louis	9 - 21	72	0.824326	186	184
187	S. Carolina St.	18 - 12	321	0.824004	187	187
188	Butler	13 - 15	213	0.823376	188	188
189	Fairfield	15 - 15	239	0.818397	189	189
190	Oakland	13 - 19	112	0.814909	190	190
191	North Texas	14 - 14	176	0.808976	191	191
192	Loyola (IL)	13 - 17	152	0.808488	192	192
193	Iona	15 - 16	247	0.803233	193	193
194	East Carolina	9 - 19	67	0.800463	194	194
195	New Orleans	13 - 17	153	0.795819	195	195
196	Furman	16 - 13	220	0.795235	196	196
197	Colorado St.	11 - 17	118	0.794155	197	197
198	Monmouth	16 - 13	297	0.792319	198	198
199	Georgia	8 - 20	47	0.790487	199	199
200	Georgia St.	14 - 15	201	0.786998	200	200
201	Maine	14 - 15	223	0.784791	201	201
202	Yale	11 - 16	171	0.783321	202	202
203	Mercer	16 - 12	294	0.780074	203	204
204	BYU	9 - 21	68	0.779897	205	205
205	Tennessee St.	14 - 17	160	0.779197	204	203
206	Albany	13 - 15	231	0.775398	206	206
207	Samford	15 - 13	296	0.770237	207	207
208	Binghamton	12 - 17	185	0.769901	208	208
209	SE Missouri St.	15 - 14	245	0.76915	209	209
210	Belmont	14 - 16	262	0.76771	210	210
211	Birmingham So.	16 - 14	302	0.765828	212	212
212	Tulsa	9 - 20	131	0.76564	211	211
213	St. Francis (PA)	15 - 13	284	0.763843	213	213
214	UTSA	15 - 13	259	0.754842	214	214
215	La Salle	10 - 19	128	0.748373	215	215
216	Hampton	17 - 13	316	0.746628	216	216
217	Harvard	12 - 15	243	0.745531	217	217
218	Cornell	13 - 14	255	0.743271	219	218
219	Baylor	9 - 19	65	0.743147	218	220
220	Austin Peay	13 - 19	194	0.741874	221	219
221	Penn St.	7 - 23	31	0.738732	220	221
222	Lipscomb	16 - 12	308	0.738446	222	222
223	Southern Miss	11 - 17	110	0.735408	223	223
224	UCSB	11 - 18	166	0.732925	224	224
225	Utah Valley St.	16 - 12	317	0.73204	225	225
226	Lehigh	14 - 15	285	0.731345	226	226
227	East. Michigan	12 - 18	172	0.728919	227	227
228	Jacksonville	16 - 13	293	0.727651	228	228
229	Coppin St.	14 - 15	186	0.726691	229	229
230	Wofford	14 - 14	237	0.721808	230	230
231	Tulane	10 - 18	116	0.717198	231	231
232	Brown	12 - 16	266	0.704828	232	232
233	Marshall	6 - 22	98	0.703574	233	233
234	Weber St.	14 - 16	288	0.697442	234	234
235	Montana St.	14 - 14	304	0.692594	235	235
236	Western Ill.	11 - 17	200	0.690514	236	236
237	Delaware	11 - 20	183	0.686887	238	237
238	Chicago St.	9 - 19	165	0.685305	237	238
239	Cent. Michigan	10 - 18	129	0.68465	239	239
240	Robert Morris	14 - 15	282	0.683832	240	240
241	McNeese St.	13 - 15	256	0.681815	241	241
242	Long Beach St.	10 - 20	163	0.681654	242	242
243	Central Conn. St.	12 - 16	292	0.678553	243	243
244	Eastern Illinois	12 - 16	250	0.677799	244	244
245	Alabama A&M	18 - 14	329	0.677398	245	245
246	Colgate	12 - 16	228	0.676544	246	246
247	Marist	11 - 17	260	0.674908	247	247
248	Stony Brook	12 - 17	241	0.674134	248	248
249	St. Francis (NY)	13 - 15	319	0.67355	249	249
250	Southern Utah	13 - 15	258	0.672932	250	250
251	Wagner	13 - 17	295	0.672608	251	251
252	Florida Atlantic	10 - 17	244	0.672178	252	252
253	High Point	13 - 18	275	0.667582	253	253
254	Columbia	12 - 15	300	0.665627	254	254
255	Liberty	13 - 15	261	0.664812	256	256
256	Troy	12 - 18	246	0.664758	255	255
257	Cleveland St.	9 - 17	164	0.663007	258	258
258	Long Island	14 - 15	303	0.662478	257	257
259	South Alabama	10 - 18	154	0.660052	259	259
260	Duquesne	8 - 22	119	0.656283	260	260
261	Miss. Valley St.	13 - 15	325	0.654377	262	262
262	Florida A&M	14 - 15	238	0.653666	261	261
263	UC Davis	11 - 17	198	0.652156	263	263
264	Charleston S.	13 - 17	272	0.640848	264	264
265	Canisius	11 - 18	277	0.63875	265	265
266	N.C. Asheville	11 - 17	210	0.634706	266	266
267	Norfolk St.	13 - 14	324	0.63339	267	267
268	Grambling St.	14 - 12	327	0.632563	268	268
269	Texas St.	14 - 14	301	0.631049	269	269
270	Idaho	8 - 22	174	0.631003	270	270
271	Northern Arizona	11 - 17	278	0.630621	271	271
272	Dartmouth	10 - 17	236	0.628812	272	272
273	Alabama St.	15 - 15	318	0.6287	273	273
274	UC Riverside	9 - 19	191	0.626186	274	274
275	Rhode Island	6 - 22	151	0.622916	275	275
276	TX Arlington	13 - 15	264	0.621819	276	276
277	Stetson	10 - 17	251	0.620366	277	277
278	Morgan St.	14 - 16	322	0.617826	278	278
279	MD Baltimore Cty.	11 - 18	248	0.615854	279	279
280	Sacramento St.	12 - 16	291	0.614654	280	280
281	Texas Pan Amer.	12 - 16	225	0.61312	281	281
282	New Hampshire	9 - 19	195	0.61121	282	282
283	San Jose St.	6 - 23	126	0.60851	283	283
284	Lafayette	9 - 19	177	0.604871	284	284
285	E. Tennessee St.	10 - 19	221	0.601648	285	285
286	Southern	14 - 15	328	0.59959	286	286
287	Radford	12 - 16	298	0.598536	287	287
288	Eastern Wash.	8 - 20	178	0.597905	288	288
289	Stephen F. Austin	12 - 15	310	0.594267	289	289
290	Jackson St.	15 - 17	313	0.590437	290	290
291	William & Mary	8 - 21	155	0.589703	292	292
292	Elon	8 - 23	190	0.588714	291	291
293	Coastal Carolina	10 - 19	274	0.585889	293	293
294	Navy	9 - 19	283	0.577297	294	294
295	Bethune-Cookman	13 - 17	323	0.570212	295	295
296	Quinnipiac	10 - 17	306	0.569679	296	296
297	New Mexico St.	6 - 24	142	0.567439	297	297
298	Texas Southern	11 - 15	330	0.556341	298	298
299	Morehead St.	11 - 16	226	0.551192	299	299
300	Citadel	12 - 16	276	0.550016	300	300
301	IPFW	7 - 22	217	0.539285	301	301
302	Siena	6 - 24	214	0.536951	302	302
303	Hartford	8 - 20	252	0.534296	303	303
304	Western Carolina	8 - 22	189	0.5308	304	304
305	James Madison	6 - 22	192	0.526593	305	305
306	Cal Poly	5 - 22	173	0.521706	307	307
307	Idaho St.	9 - 18	305	0.521581	306	306
308	Northern Colorado	8 - 21	124	0.520953	308	308
309	Towson	5 - 24	206	0.515464	309	309
310	Loyola (MD)	6 - 22	270	0.506883	310	310
311	Virginia Military	9 - 18	314	0.505553	311	311
312	Jacksonville St.	7 - 22	271	0.487197	312	312
313	Mount St. Mary's	7 - 20	315	0.486881	313	313
314	N.C. A&T	6 - 23	253	0.482778	314	314
315	Tenn-Martin	6 - 21	234	0.48092	315	315
316	LA Monroe	8 - 19	290	0.479973	316	316
317	Youngstown St.	5 - 23	212	0.46484	317	317
318	St. Bonaventure	2 - 26	138	0.462924	318	318
319	Sacred Heart	4 - 23	289	0.447186	319	319
320	Nicholls St.	6 - 21	263	0.442132	320	320
321	AR Pine Bluff	7 - 21	307	0.433803	321	321
322	Centenary	3 - 24	205	0.43203	322	322
323	Howard	5 - 23	312	0.422177	323	323
324	Campbell	2 - 25	235	0.413041	324	324
325	Alcorn St.	7 - 22	326	0.407676	325	325
326	Prairie View A&M	5 - 23	311	0.397104	326	326
327	Longwood	1 - 29	211	0.393474	327	327
328	Army	3 - 24	249	0.383256	328	328
329	Savannah St.	0 - 28	299	0.313976	329	329
330	MD Eastern Shore	2 - 26	320	0.3122	330	330

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde