Robert's Rankings

College Women's Basketball 2006-2007

2005-2006 Season 2004-2005 Season

Number of Teams: 335	Number of Games: 4901
Number of Upsets: 996 (20.3%)	Grouping Factor: 0.268154

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.2263	0.4015	0.6340	0.8031	1.076	1.422

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Duke	32 - 1	2	4.0787	1	1
2	Tennessee	30 - 3	1	3.64501	2	2
3	North Carolina	32 - 3	16	3.32592	3	3
4	Connecticut	30 - 3	13	3.19049	4	4
5	Purdue	30 - 5	26	2.69539	6	6
6	Oklahoma	28 - 4	31	2.69502	5	7
7	Maryland	28 - 6	8	2.67122	7	5
8	LSU	27 - 7	7	2.63651	8	8
9	Georgia	27 - 6	6	2.47764	9	13
10	Ohio St.	27 - 4	47	2.44884	11	10
11	Stanford	28 - 5	35	2.44812	10	9
12	Vanderbilt	28 - 6	10	2.44127	12	11
13	Arizona St.	30 - 4	55	2.42798	13	12
14	Rutgers	24 - 8	3	2.35638	14	15
15	Geo. Washington	27 - 3	67	2.30955	15	16
16	Bowling Green	31 - 3	89	2.2877	16	18
17	Middle Tenn. St.	30 - 4	74	2.26242	17	14
18	Texas A&M	25 - 7	51	2.10679	18	17
19	N.C. State	23 - 9	4	2.10483	19	21
20	Baylor	25 - 8	21	2.06549	20	19
21	Marquette	26 - 7	40	2.05003	21	20
22	Michigan St.	24 - 9	14	1.9722	22	22
23	Iowa St.	26 - 9	46	1.89058	23	23
24	Mississippi	23 - 10	30	1.87549	24	30
25	Louisville	27 - 8	69	1.78033	25	28
26	Pittsburgh	24 - 9	27	1.75529	26	31
27	Old Dominion	24 - 8	62	1.74968	27	29
28	Temple	25 - 8	65	1.72209	28	36
29	Delaware	26 - 5	132	1.71592	29	25
30	Xavier	26 - 7	86	1.70683	30	33
31	California	23 - 9	60	1.70233	31	24
32	James Madison	26 - 6	106	1.69931	34	27
33	Marist	28 - 5	143	1.69929	32	50
34	Nebraska	21 - 10	54	1.6946	33	26
35	Florida St.	23 - 9	53	1.68061	35	39
36	Wis. Green Bay	27 - 4	178	1.64923	36	32
37	South Dakota St.	23 - 5	116	1.64051	37	34
38	New Mexico	24 - 8	92	1.62544	38	35
39	Texas	18 - 14	5	1.60447	39	37
40	Notre Dame	20 - 12	17	1.58913	40	41
41	Oklahoma St.	19 - 11	63	1.54648	41	38
42	Ball St.	22 - 5	134	1.54224	42	44
43	Montana	27 - 4	227	1.51776	43	42
44	West Virginia	20 - 11	36	1.51709	44	45
45	West. Kentucky	20 - 7	79	1.51601	45	43
46	Georgia Tech	21 - 12	24	1.5153	46	48
47	Tulane	26 - 5	174	1.50555	47	46
48	South Florida	20 - 11	42	1.50528	48	49
49	BYU	23 - 9	93	1.4767	49	40
50	Hofstra	25 - 7	126	1.46708	54	54
51	Chattanooga	24 - 7	133	1.44246	51	53
52	Auburn	19 - 12	50	1.44205	50	56
53	Missouri	17 - 11	58	1.44127	52	52
54	Washington	18 - 13	25	1.43913	53	47
55	Kentucky	19 - 13	49	1.4225	55	58
56	TCU	20 - 11	75	1.41867	56	51
57	Illinois	18 - 11	64	1.4185	57	57
58	Virginia	17 - 13	9	1.41716	58	59
59	Wyoming	21 - 9	114	1.41081	59	55
60	Hartford	24 - 8	120	1.41004	60	63
61	DePaul	19 - 13	57	1.3972	61	60
62	Indiana	18 - 13	41	1.38761	62	65
63	Wisconsin	19 - 11	76	1.37648	63	66
64	USC	17 - 13	37	1.3743	64	61
65	Penn St.	15 - 16	12	1.35545	66	68
66	LA Lafayette	24 - 9	118	1.34584	67	64
67	Minnesota	17 - 15	44	1.34544	68	69
68	Gonzaga	24 - 10	83	1.34467	69	62
69	South Carolina	16 - 15	15	1.3322	65	67
70	TX Arlington	24 - 9	160	1.32707	70	71
71	Boise St.	24 - 9	165	1.32032	71	70
72	Virginia Tech	18 - 14	20	1.319	72	73
73	Texas Tech	14 - 16	18	1.30017	73	72
74	Kansas St.	16 - 14	61	1.28287	74	74
75	Seton Hall	19 - 11	73	1.2815	75	77
76	Mississippi St.	17 - 12	59	1.27038	76	79
77	Western Carolina	24 - 9	150	1.2683	77	78
78	Coppin St.	24 - 7	243	1.25608	79	81
79	Arkansas	18 - 13	43	1.2557	78	80
80	Arkansas St.	20 - 12	94	1.25371	80	76
81	Oregon	16 - 13	66	1.2463	81	75
82	Davidson	21 - 9	158	1.22195	82	82
83	Robert Morris	22 - 6	260	1.2107	83	85
84	Charlotte	19 - 12	105	1.20417	84	87
85	Illinois St.	21 - 10	164	1.19975	85	84
86	Utah	18 - 13	85	1.19159	86	83
87	St. Joseph's	19 - 14	81	1.18692	87	93
88	San Diego	21 - 8	201	1.18433	88	86
89	UTEP	20 - 7	217	1.1815	89	89
90	AR Little Rock	21 - 10	173	1.17901	90	88
91	Indiana St.	19 - 9	183	1.16761	91	91
92	SMU	18 - 11	109	1.16729	92	90
93	Southern Ill.	19 - 10	175	1.16493	93	92
94	Rice	18 - 14	104	1.16166	94	94
95	Northern Illinois	19 - 10	163	1.15087	95	96
96	Colorado	13 - 16	28	1.13803	96	95
97	Iowa	14 - 16	32	1.13442	97	98
98	UAB	19 - 12	125	1.13154	98	99
99	UC Riverside	20 - 11	157	1.127	99	97
100	Denver	20 - 11	152	1.10897	100	100
101	Loyola Marymount	19 - 12	124	1.10188	101	102
102	UCLA	13 - 18	22	1.09569	102	101
103	N.C. Greensboro	20 - 10	140	1.09425	103	105
104	Belmont	24 - 7	257	1.09276	104	104
105	SE Missouri St.	23 - 8	235	1.08994	105	106
106	East Carolina	19 - 14	103	1.08158	106	103
107	Stony Brook	18 - 11	148	1.07092	107	113
108	Boston Coll.	13 - 16	29	1.0698	108	109
109	Fresno St.	18 - 13	137	1.0686	109	107
110	Louisiana Tech	15 - 13	100	1.06665	110	108
111	Army	23 - 6	311	1.06161	111	112
112	Evansville	19 - 11	236	1.05728	112	110
113	Northern Arizona	19 - 12	170	1.04775	113	111
114	Cincinnati	14 - 14	72	1.04234	114	115
115	UCSB	18 - 12	107	1.03927	115	114
116	Ohio	16 - 12	154	1.03473	116	116
117	Massachusetts	17 - 13	141	1.02278	117	120
118	Vermont	19 - 11	230	1.01877	118	119
119	Northern Iowa	16 - 12	130	1.00571	119	121
120	Long Island	22 - 9	308	1.0056	120	123
121	William & Mary	19 - 12	180	1.00505	121	122
122	Sacred Heart	19 - 9	248	1.00152	122	125
123	Kansas	11 - 20	33	1.00039	123	117
124	La Salle	19 - 11	167	0.998648	124	126
125	Arizona	11 - 21	23	0.99666	125	118
126	East. Michigan	15 - 13	136	0.996407	126	127
127	Murray St.	21 - 9	283	0.991012	127	124
128	Loyola (MD)	18 - 11	228	0.969418	128	137
129	Hawaii	15 - 14	123	0.96852	129	128
130	Clemson	12 - 18	45	0.963816	130	130
131	Iona	19 - 10	241	0.962135	131	138
132	Richmond	12 - 15	77	0.961835	132	132
133	Pepperdine	14 - 17	99	0.960563	133	129
134	Liberty	18 - 12	190	0.955195	134	133
135	Kent St.	13 - 13	122	0.952458	135	135
136	Oral Roberts	21 - 10	263	0.951651	136	131
137	Bucknell	19 - 11	256	0.945654	137	139
138	Florida Intl.	16 - 14	108	0.935238	139	134
139	Florida	9 - 22	11	0.934286	138	141
140	VCU	17 - 13	156	0.928854	141	140
141	UNLV	14 - 15	111	0.926992	140	136
142	Miami (FL)	11 - 19	52	0.921925	142	142
143	Oakland	18 - 13	139	0.910464	143	145
144	North Dakota St.	14 - 10	155	0.903879	144	144
145	Nevada	17 - 14	215	0.903536	145	143
146	Boston U.	15 - 15	97	0.890698	146	148
147	N.C. Asheville	19 - 11	294	0.889709	147	146
148	Stephen F. Austin	19 - 12	262	0.882539	148	147
149	Radford	18 - 12	292	0.877894	149	150
150	Michigan	10 - 20	38	0.877041	150	149
151	Georgetown	13 - 15	80	0.872302	151	155
152	Samford	18 - 11	304	0.870507	152	152
153	Weber St.	17 - 13	231	0.868807	153	151
154	Towson	17 - 12	192	0.865313	155	156
155	Idaho St.	16 - 13	209	0.863974	154	153
156	W. Michigan	14 - 18	110	0.857845	156	159
157	Villanova	8 - 20	48	0.857769	157	162
158	Ill. Chicago	19 - 13	250	0.854902	158	157
159	Marshall	15 - 15	161	0.854189	159	158
160	Oregon St.	9 - 19	71	0.851836	160	154
161	Quinnipiac	15 - 12	280	0.844631	163	165
162	Valparaiso	19 - 11	279	0.844233	162	160
163	Alabama	10 - 20	19	0.843399	161	161
164	Providence	13 - 16	88	0.843079	164	166
165	MD Baltimore Cty.	16 - 16	216	0.837164	165	169
166	Drake	13 - 19	113	0.836397	166	163
167	High Point	18 - 12	249	0.833928	167	168
168	Creighton	13 - 18	147	0.833006	168	164
169	St. Bonaventure	15 - 15	153	0.832759	169	180
170	St. John's	7 - 20	39	0.831502	170	175
171	Delaware St.	18 - 12	212	0.829507	171	171
172	E. Tennessee St.	18 - 12	245	0.827403	172	170
173	Saint Louis	13 - 17	121	0.825857	173	178
174	Utah Valley St.	15 - 13	234	0.822647	174	167
175	Tulsa	11 - 18	95	0.82246	175	176
176	Jacksonville	18 - 8	330	0.822022	176	173
177	Southern Miss	15 - 15	229	0.814398	177	181
178	St. Mary's	13 - 14	196	0.814131	178	172
179	South Alabama	14 - 16	115	0.813871	179	174
180	Cal Poly	14 - 12	284	0.81269	180	177
181	Canisius	16 - 13	271	0.812546	181	190
182	CSU Fullerton	16 - 16	224	0.810642	182	179
183	Yale	12 - 14	255	0.81023	183	191
184	Dartmouth	14 - 14	162	0.805297	184	187
185	Toledo	11 - 18	117	0.801442	186	189
186	Northwestern	8 - 22	34	0.801211	185	182
187	Harvard	12 - 14	184	0.796462	187	196
188	Georgia St.	14 - 15	193	0.794467	190	186
189	San Diego St.	11 - 15	101	0.793672	188	183
190	Maine	13 - 15	177	0.792173	189	193
191	Jackson St.	21 - 10	332	0.791203	191	188
192	Butler	15 - 14	182	0.788887	192	192
193	LA Monroe	14 - 16	142	0.788404	193	184
194	Santa Clara	12 - 17	131	0.785172	194	185
195	Coastal Carolina	18 - 11	276	0.784658	195	194
196	Georgia Southern	13 - 16	189	0.78079	196	195
197	Princeton	14 - 12	254	0.777638	197	199
198	Dayton	11 - 19	112	0.776325	198	200
199	Fairfield	13 - 13	259	0.773685	199	206
200	Wis. Milwaukee	15 - 15	204	0.770782	200	197
201	Miami (OH)	12 - 18	129	0.770616	201	201
202	UTSA	14 - 15	218	0.766791	202	198
203	Tenn-Martin	16 - 14	269	0.754113	203	204
204	Wake Forest	9 - 19	56	0.753273	204	208
205	Monmouth	17 - 12	315	0.751522	205	209
206	CSU Northridge	12 - 16	214	0.748991	206	202
207	San Francisco	10 - 20	128	0.748601	207	203
208	Appalachian St.	13 - 16	219	0.745637	208	210
209	Texas St.	17 - 12	282	0.744896	209	207
210	New Mexico St.	13 - 18	188	0.743835	210	205
211	Houston	8 - 18	68	0.73957	211	212
212	Troy	12 - 16	138	0.737946	212	211
213	N.C. A&T	17 - 13	277	0.737697	213	213
214	Montana St.	13 - 15	261	0.726943	214	214
215	Holy Cross	14 - 17	171	0.721197	215	222
216	Cent. Michigan	11 - 19	146	0.71718	216	217
217	Eastern Kentucky	12 - 17	222	0.713601	217	216
218	Prairie View A&M	18 - 13	258	0.712533	218	215
219	Syracuse	9 - 20	78	0.711291	219	219
220	Akron	11 - 17	181	0.708188	220	221
221	IUPUI	14 - 15	289	0.705361	221	218
222	Texas A&M C.C.	14 - 15	195	0.697645	222	220
223	Morehead St.	13 - 16	252	0.693818	223	223
224	Tennessee Tech	11 - 17	168	0.69165	224	224
225	Niagara	14 - 16	286	0.690574	225	233
226	Buffalo	10 - 19	179	0.688632	226	231
227	Morgan St.	16 - 13	324	0.687258	227	226
228	Binghamton	11 - 18	233	0.683565	228	232
229	Hampton	12 - 13	296	0.682574	229	227
230	Utah St.	11 - 17	205	0.681209	230	225
231	Bradley	12 - 19	210	0.679213	231	229
232	Pennsylvania	11 - 14	246	0.676412	232	238
233	Wofford	12 - 16	144	0.673972	233	234
234	Drexel	10 - 21	119	0.673447	236	235
235	North Texas	7 - 20	96	0.6728	234	228
236	UC Davis	13 - 16	251	0.672242	235	230
237	SE Louisiana	14 - 12	321	0.670325	237	236
238	IPFW	11 - 16	197	0.666703	238	237
239	Alabama A&M	17 - 13	325	0.662381	239	239
240	Navy	13 - 15	295	0.660826	240	241
241	Portland St.	12 - 18	240	0.657545	241	240
242	Lehigh	11 - 18	278	0.649063	242	245
243	Mount St. Mary's	11 - 17	265	0.648589	243	244
244	George Mason	7 - 21	91	0.645629	244	242
245	St. Peter's	10 - 18	220	0.641006	245	251
246	Portland	10 - 20	202	0.636538	246	243
247	Wichita St.	9 - 20	207	0.634506	247	247
248	Florida Atlantic	7 - 23	82	0.633055	248	246
249	Rhode Island	6 - 23	90	0.632613	249	250
250	Duquesne	7 - 20	135	0.63125	250	252
251	Missouri St.	6 - 20	151	0.629933	251	249
252	Siena	9 - 19	169	0.625016	252	258
253	Washington St.	5 - 23	70	0.622404	253	248
254	Austin Peay	10 - 20	237	0.620644	254	253
255	St. Francis (NY)	12 - 18	297	0.620322	255	255
256	Colorado St.	8 - 20	98	0.613151	256	254
257	N.C. Wilmington	8 - 22	127	0.612037	259	256
258	Alcorn St.	15 - 13	331	0.611989	257	257
259	Manhattan	9 - 19	198	0.611267	258	263
260	Albany	9 - 21	200	0.610036	260	261
261	Furman	11 - 20	191	0.60535	261	260
262	Lamar	13 - 16	299	0.604856	262	259
263	Fair. Dickinson	11 - 18	270	0.601973	263	262
264	Eastern Illinois	9 - 19	238	0.59071	264	264
265	Wright St.	10 - 18	266	0.589483	265	265
266	Northeastern	4 - 25	84	0.588299	267	267
267	Charleston	10 - 20	232	0.588129	266	268
268	Elon	10 - 20	172	0.585729	268	269
269	Air Force	6 - 23	102	0.580415	269	266
270	Kennesaw St.	13 - 14	333	0.578673	270	271
271	Long Beach St.	9 - 23	203	0.578563	271	270
272	American	10 - 20	290	0.578418	272	273
273	Florida A&M	16 - 16	329	0.575831	273	272
274	Eastern Wash.	10 - 19	211	0.569726	274	274
275	New Hampshire	8 - 20	247	0.56877	275	278
276	Texas Pan Amer.	10 - 18	186	0.568074	276	275
277	Cornell	9 - 15	281	0.56775	277	277
278	Central Arkansas	14 - 14	312	0.565604	278	276
279	Gardner-Webb	14 - 16	318	0.559911	279	279
280	UCF	7 - 22	176	0.552877	280	280
281	New Orleans	8 - 22	159	0.545919	281	281
282	UC Irvine	5 - 23	194	0.535778	282	282
283	Howard	8 - 21	206	0.531038	283	283
284	Chicago St.	9 - 19	187	0.529846	284	286
285	AR Pine Bluff	11 - 19	221	0.528982	285	285
286	Western Ill.	9 - 18	273	0.528626	286	284
287	St. Francis (PA)	7 - 20	239	0.527457	287	287
288	Central Conn. St.	6 - 19	244	0.526309	288	288
289	Cleveland St.	8 - 22	272	0.52249	289	289
290	Loyola Chicago	7 - 21	253	0.520082	290	290
291	MD Eastern Shore	11 - 19	307	0.519686	291	291
292	Brown	5 - 20	208	0.511562	292	295
293	Mo. Kansas City	9 - 20	288	0.50355	293	293
294	Detroit	5 - 26	145	0.502972	294	294
295	Pacific	8 - 22	285	0.50196	295	292
296	Youngstown St.	7 - 20	275	0.498838	296	296
297	Birmingham So.	9 - 19	322	0.498091	297	297
298	San Jose St.	5 - 26	226	0.491039	298	298
299	Columbia	5 - 19	268	0.484227	299	301
300	Savannah St.	11 - 17	309	0.482966	300	299
301	Winthrop	6 - 24	225	0.481418	301	300
302	Fordham	3 - 24	87	0.480755	302	305
303	Winston-Salem	8 - 21	274	0.477823	303	303
304	Idaho	6 - 22	242	0.474806	304	302
305	Jacksonville St.	7 - 22	298	0.472838	305	304
306	Lafayette	7 - 21	320	0.472111	306	308
307	Memphis	4 - 27	149	0.470613	307	306
308	Alabama St.	12 - 18	316	0.468548	308	307
309	Colgate	6 - 24	223	0.465311	309	311
310	Northwestern St.	9 - 19	314	0.462503	310	309
311	Southern Utah	7 - 19	291	0.459085	311	310
312	Lipscomb	8 - 21	302	0.456333	312	312
313	Grambling St.	11 - 19	334	0.4558	313	313
314	S. Carolina St.	7 - 19	301	0.453766	314	314
315	Charleston S.	10 - 20	310	0.444359	315	316
316	Campbell	7 - 21	327	0.442883	316	315
317	Tennessee St.	7 - 22	305	0.441003	317	317
318	Northern Colorado	5 - 24	185	0.437873	318	318
319	Longwood	8 - 21	264	0.435921	319	319
320	Nicholls St.	6 - 20	267	0.430876	320	320
321	Stetson	5 - 23	300	0.422197	321	321
322	Sam Houston St.	5 - 23	199	0.405964	323	322
323	Mercer	5 - 22	287	0.405782	322	323
324	Rider	2 - 26	213	0.40488	324	325
325	Sacramento St.	3 - 27	166	0.394195	325	324
326	Norfolk St.	6 - 24	323	0.392853	326	326
327	North Florida	6 - 21	317	0.3875	327	327
328	Miss. Valley St.	7 - 20	326	0.381847	328	328
329	McNeese St.	5 - 24	293	0.379059	329	329
330	Southern	4 - 23	313	0.371694	330	330
331	Texas Southern	6 - 21	319	0.364798	331	331
332	Wagner	3 - 26	303	0.357062	333	333
333	Centenary	5 - 24	328	0.357002	332	332
334	N.J.I.T.	4 - 24	306	0.348229	334	334
335	Bethune-Cookman	5 - 24	335	0.326497	335	335

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde