Robert's Rankings
College Football 2003
Introduction
Coll. Men's Basketball
Coll. Women's Basketball
Coll. Football
Pro Basketball
Pro Football
Pro Baseball
Pro Hockey
2001 Season
2002 Season
Number of Teams: 117
Number of Games: 698
Number of Upsets: 144 (20.6%)
Grouping Factor: 0.225587
Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset
50%
35%
25%
15%
10%
5%
2%
Quality Factor Difference
0
0.363
0.644
1.016
1.287
1.725
2.280
Rank
Name
Record
Strength of Schedule
Quality Factor
Previous
1
LSU
13 - 1
16
3.65527
1
2
USC
12 - 1
57
3.26937
3
3
Oklahoma
12 - 2
30
2.71878
2
4
Kansas State
11 - 4
22
2.35813
5
5
Georgia
11 - 3
8
2.35632
7
6
Michigan
10 - 3
19
2.3478
4
7
Ohio State
11 - 2
13
2.32886
9
8
Utah
10 - 2
76
2.19678
14
9
Miami (OH)
13 - 1
86
2.18203
10
10
Florida State
10 - 3
18
2.17129
6
11
Iowa
10 - 3
23
2.15274
13
12
Miami (FL)
11 - 2
42
2.08952
11
13
Texas
10 - 3
39
1.98425
8
14
Boise State
13 - 1
114
1.93577
16
15
Washington State
10 - 3
45
1.84795
18
16
Tennessee
10 - 3
54
1.78158
12
17
Florida
8 - 5
1
1.70913
15
18
Maryland
10 - 3
55
1.68492
23
19
Nebraska
10 - 3
68
1.67802
19
20
Mississippi
9 - 4
50
1.58687
17
21
Clemson
9 - 4
21
1.53157
29
22
California
8 - 6
15
1.50112
25
23
Minnesota
10 - 3
77
1.50059
20
24
Purdue
9 - 4
32
1.44911
21
25
Arkansas
9 - 4
36
1.4081
26
26
Oregon State
8 - 5
17
1.38092
41
27
TCU
11 - 2
111
1.34818
22
28
Oklahoma State
10 - 3
37
1.33038
32
29
Virginia
8 - 5
58
1.30743
36
30
Colorado State
8 - 5
44
1.30171
35
31
North Carolina State
8 - 5
25
1.30154
37
32
Virginia Tech
8 - 5
69
1.28589
27
33
Bowling Green
11 - 3
53
1.27456
33
34
Oregon
8 - 5
38
1.24542
31
35
New Mexico
8 - 5
60
1.22072
28
36
Michigan State
8 - 5
41
1.21602
24
37
Northern Illinois
10 - 2
115
1.18113
40
38
Texas Tech
8 - 5
52
1.15741
42
39
Georgia Tech
7 - 6
40
1.13965
46
40
Wisconsin
7 - 6
51
1.09206
34
41
Marshall
8 - 4
72
1.06547
44
42
Pittsburgh
8 - 5
80
1.06419
39
43
West Virginia
8 - 5
64
1.05351
30
44
Auburn
8 - 5
3
1.05106
47
45
Memphis
9 - 4
113
1.04373
45
46
Missouri
8 - 5
56
1.02694
43
47
Washington
6 - 6
24
1.01584
49
48
Connecticut
9 - 3
112
0.961681
48
49
Southern Mississippi
9 - 4
70
0.947367
38
50
Toledo
8 - 4
106
0.90933
52
51
Fresno State
9 - 5
61
0.900768
60
52
Louisville
9 - 4
108
0.880806
50
53
Air Force
7 - 5
78
0.879116
56
54
Wake Forest
5 - 7
43
0.873376
57
55
Boston College
7 - 6
73
0.867399
51
56
Alabama
4 - 9
4
0.86085
53
57
UCLA
6 - 7
20
0.856747
54
58
Hawaii
9 - 5
81
0.856078
61
59
San Diego State
6 - 6
48
0.823657
63
60
UNLV
6 - 6
66
0.814909
58
61
South Carolina
5 - 7
6
0.811515
64
62
Colorado
5 - 7
9
0.805025
59
63
Syracuse
6 - 6
79
0.786668
62
64
Navy
8 - 5
117
0.774859
55
65
South Florida
7 - 4
101
0.759379
65
66
Notre Dame
5 - 7
7
0.709186
69
67
North Texas
9 - 4
109
0.708603
67
68
Arizona State
5 - 7
14
0.690421
73
69
Tulsa
8 - 5
96
0.680015
66
70
UAB
5 - 7
93
0.676619
71
71
Rutgers
5 - 7
75
0.676088
68
72
Northwestern
6 - 7
33
0.669728
70
73
Akron
7 - 5
102
0.63061
76
74
Nevada
6 - 6
90
0.629003
77
75
Kansas
6 - 7
65
0.619452
72
76
Cincinnati
5 - 7
82
0.617665
74
77
Penn State
3 - 9
34
0.613903
78
78
Brigham Young
4 - 8
11
0.61271
80
79
Houston
7 - 6
98
0.596789
75
80
Louisiana Tech
5 - 7
47
0.591114
79
81
Wyoming
4 - 8
49
0.584382
82
82
Kent State
5 - 6
83
0.56667
81
83
Texas A&M
4 - 8
10
0.565302
84
84
Kentucky
4 - 8
62
0.555571
83
85
Stanford
4 - 7
26
0.54838
86
86
Western Michigan
5 - 7
85
0.525788
85
87
Middle Tennessee State
4 - 8
104
0.505455
88
88
Rice
5 - 7
110
0.497628
89
89
Tulane
5 - 7
92
0.486395
87
90
Duke
4 - 8
29
0.45853
90
91
North Carolina
2 - 10
46
0.455411
91
92
Utah State
3 - 9
99
0.422222
92
93
Ball State
4 - 8
67
0.404528
93
94
Troy State
6 - 6
59
0.399919
94
95
Vanderbilt
2 - 10
27
0.397741
95
96
Idaho
3 - 9
100
0.391272
97
97
Arizona
2 - 10
2
0.38518
100
98
New Mexico State
3 - 9
95
0.383328
98
99
Ohio
2 - 10
89
0.379465
99
100
Temple
1 - 11
71
0.377594
96
101
Eastern Michigan
3 - 9
97
0.35602
101
102
UCF
3 - 9
94
0.343685
102
103
Illinois
1 - 11
12
0.341522
103
104
Mississippi State
2 - 10
28
0.341383
104
105
San Jose State
3 - 8
91
0.328428
106
106
Baylor
3 - 9
31
0.321304
105
107
Louisiana-Lafayette
4 - 8
107
0.317956
109
108
Central Michigan
3 - 9
84
0.317395
108
109
Indiana
2 - 10
35
0.315057
107
110
Iowa State
2 - 10
5
0.294484
110
111
Louisiana-Monroe
1 - 11
74
0.283586
111
112
Buffalo
1 - 11
63
0.276275
113
113
UTEP
2 - 11
105
0.276208
114
114
East Carolina
1 - 11
87
0.272043
112
115
Arkansas State
5 - 7
116
0.271812
115
116
Southern Methodist
0 - 12
88
0.232532
116
117
Army
0 - 13
103
0.198467
117
© 1996-2005
Robert A. Rohde