Robert's Rankings

Professional Hockey 2003-2004

Number of Teams: 30	Number of Games: 1240
Number of Upsets: 480 (38.7%)	Grouping Factor: 0.316897

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.911	1.617	2.553	3.23	4.33	5.73

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Tampa Bay	70 - 42	17	1.62266	1	1
2	Toronto	62 - 40	5	1.52244	2	2
3	Calgary	63 - 52	3	1.47042	3	3
4	Philadelphia	66 - 39	2	1.40951	4	4
5	San Jose	62 - 45	28	1.37918	5	5
6	Ottawa	57 - 39	4	1.35103	7	7
7	Detroit	63 - 39	27	1.34768	6	6
8	Vancouver	52 - 45	6	1.24465	8	8
9	Boston	52 - 43	14	1.1358	10	10
10	Dallas	50 - 44	29	1.13492	9	9
11	New Jersey	53 - 41	12	1.12095	11	11
12	NY Islanders	52 - 41	9	1.10146	12	12
13	Colorado	56 - 43	7	1.05502	13	13
14	Edmonton	47 - 41	13	1.03345	14	14
15	Montreal	51 - 50	1	0.966821	15	15
16	Buffalo	43 - 45	16	0.953268	16	16
17	Nashville	46 - 48	24	0.92275	17	17
18	Minnesota	47 - 42	23	0.91969	18	18
19	Florida	38 - 48	10	0.834466	19	19
20	Atlanta	42 - 48	15	0.81668	21	21
21	Anaheim	36 - 53	26	0.81194	20	20
22	St. Louis	49 - 45	21	0.801961	22	22
23	Carolina	37 - 52	22	0.767938	23	23
24	Los Angeles	40 - 49	30	0.72205	24	24
25	NY Rangers	36 - 54	8	0.675565	25	25
26	Columbus	32 - 58	25	0.632437	26	26
27	Pittsburgh	27 - 61	20	0.581001	28	27
28	Chicago	29 - 60	18	0.577798	27	28
29	Washington	28 - 60	19	0.558493	29	29
30	Phoenix	35 - 54	11	0.527964	30	30

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde