Robert's Rankings

College Football 2004

Introduction	Coll. Men's Basketball	Coll. Women's Basketball	Coll. Football
Pro Basketball	Pro Football	Pro Baseball	Pro Hockey

2001 Season 2002 Season 2003 Season

Number of Teams: 117 Number of Games: 642
Number of Upsets: 123 (19.2%) Grouping Factor: 0.245084

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset 50% 35% 25% 15% 10% 5% 2%

Quality Factor Difference 0 0.420 0.745 1.176 1.490 1.997 2.639

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	Previous
1	USC	13 - 0	15	5.11032	2
2	Auburn	13 - 0	41	3.8239	3
3	Oklahoma	12 - 1	18	3.4963	1
4	California	10 - 2	22	2.85099	6
5	Louisville	11 - 1	79	2.83928	4
6	Utah	12 - 0	96	2.77028	5
7	Miami (FL)	9 - 3	25	2.33825	7
8	Virginia Tech	10 - 3	5	2.15029	8
9	Texas	11 - 1	37	2.11685	9
10	Boise St.	11 - 1	80	2.05772	10
11	Iowa	10 - 2	42	1.99909	11
12	Georgia	10 - 2	19	1.97329	12
13	Florida St.	9 - 3	56	1.87048	13
14	LSU	9 - 3	27	1.79647	14
15	Tennessee	10 - 3	13	1.69273	15
16	Arizona St.	9 - 3	4	1.64473	17
17	Michigan	9 - 3	48	1.62689	16
18	Texas Tech	8 - 4	21	1.54094	18
19	Wisconsin	9 - 3	61	1.49242	20
20	Virginia	8 - 4	46	1.46342	21
21	Ohio St.	8 - 4	50	1.44744	22
22	Texas A&M	7 - 5	9	1.44235	19
23	Purdue	7 - 5	51	1.41345	23
24	Florida	7 - 5	40	1.36412	24
25	Fresno St.	9 - 3	93	1.33501	25
26	Boston Coll.	9 - 3	94	1.31485	26
27	UCLA	6 - 5	14	1.31293	27
28	Oregon St.	7 - 5	3	1.29099	28
29	Notre Dame	6 - 6	8	1.16879	31
30	Oklahoma St.	7 - 5	29	1.16788	29
31	Navy	10 - 2	106	1.10263	32
32	Bowling Green	8 - 3	90	1.09914	30
33	Minnesota	7 - 5	63	1.08459	33
34	Clemson	6 - 5	49	1.07835	34
35	West Virginia	8 - 4	69	1.04541	35
36	Pittsburgh	8 - 4	66	1.03742	36
37	Arkansas	5 - 6	16	1.03596	37
38	Memphis	8 - 3	84	1.02051	38
39	South Carolina	6 - 5	64	1.02008	39
40	UTEP	8 - 4	83	1.01408	40
41	N.C. State	5 - 6	30	0.950204	41
42	New Mexico	7 - 5	65	0.94204	42
43	Connecticut	8 - 4	97	0.934844	43
44	North Carolina	6 - 6	2	0.918376	44
45	Georgia Tech	6 - 5	23	0.918201	45
46	UAB	7 - 4	95	0.912475	46
47	Northwestern	6 - 6	55	0.903816	48
48	Northern Illinois	9 - 3	116	0.898073	47
49	Michigan St.	4 - 7	54	0.882768	49
50	Alabama	6 - 6	34	0.878659	50
51	BYU	5 - 6	10	0.865687	55
52	Syracuse	6 - 5	58	0.85974	52
53	Colorado	8 - 5	43	0.850954	51
54	Toledo	9 - 3	107	0.850137	53
55	Troy St.	7 - 4	103	0.837831	56
56	Stanford	4 - 7	6	0.83303	61
57	Kansas	4 - 7	35	0.831428	54
58	Oregon	5 - 6	28	0.826823	57
59	Southern Miss	7 - 5	81	0.821797	59
60	Cincinnati	6 - 5	67	0.820486	58
61	Washington St.	5 - 6	26	0.785398	64
62	TCU	5 - 6	74	0.772433	62
63	Iowa St.	7 - 5	68	0.754548	63
64	Kansas St.	4 - 7	31	0.75333	60
65	Air Force	5 - 6	45	0.746625	65
66	Missouri	5 - 6	86	0.727673	66
67	Hawaii	7 - 5	88	0.70056	68
68	Marshall	6 - 5	98	0.697252	69
69	Nebraska	5 - 6	44	0.695349	67
70	Mississippi	4 - 7	32	0.674417	70
71	Maryland	5 - 6	52	0.653809	71
72	Wyoming	6 - 5	71	0.647087	74
73	Wake Forest	4 - 7	33	0.647074	72
74	Miami (OH)	7 - 5	108	0.644237	73
75	Penn St.	4 - 7	53	0.635944	75
76	Rutgers	4 - 7	82	0.625286	76
77	San Diego St.	4 - 7	57	0.603648	77
78	Louisiana Tech	5 - 6	20	0.595954	78
79	Tulane	5 - 6	72	0.592085	79
80	Colorado St.	4 - 7	12	0.567134	80
81	North Texas	7 - 5	105	0.562968	81
82	Middle Tenn. St.	5 - 6	114	0.556677	83
83	Arizona	3 - 8	1	0.55182	87
84	Indiana	3 - 8	77	0.547289	84
85	Houston	3 - 8	24	0.545203	82
86	Mississippi St.	3 - 8	36	0.543703	85
87	Rice	3 - 7	85	0.53584	86
88	Kent St.	5 - 6	111	0.514986	88
89	South Florida	4 - 7	60	0.507333	89
90	Akron	6 - 5	112	0.483051	90
91	Illinois	3 - 7	38	0.47853	91
92	Tulsa	4 - 8	87	0.458691	92
93	New Mexico St.	5 - 6	70	0.456848	94
94	Baylor	3 - 8	17	0.449843	93
95	Nevada	5 - 7	100	0.44423	95
96	Vanderbilt	2 - 9	47	0.438193	97
97	Duke	2 - 9	39	0.436788	96
98	Army	2 - 9	76	0.433986	98
99	LA Lafayette	4 - 7	117	0.423987	99
100	UNLV	2 - 9	59	0.419761	100
101	Temple	2 - 9	62	0.399477	101
102	Arkansas St.	3 - 8	101	0.391967	103
103	East. Michigan	4 - 7	110	0.39041	102
104	Ohio	4 - 7	109	0.38141	104
105	Kentucky	2 - 9	11	0.378489	105
106	LA Monroe	5 - 6	78	0.364293	106
107	East Carolina	2 - 9	75	0.360801	107
108	San Jose St.	2 - 9	89	0.350615	108
109	South. Methodist	3 - 8	73	0.343679	109
110	Washington	1 - 10	7	0.340448	111
111	Cent. Michigan	4 - 7	113	0.337621	110
112	Utah St.	3 - 8	92	0.324581	112
113	Ball St.	2 - 9	99	0.304001	113
114	Idaho	3 - 9	102	0.293259	114
115	Buffalo	2 - 9	115	0.249317	115
116	UCF	0 - 11	104	0.246234	116
117	W. Michigan	1 - 10	91	0.245831	117