Robert's Rankings

College Women's Basketball 2004-2005

Number of Teams: 328	Number of Games: 4704
Number of Upsets: 1003 (21.3%)	Grouping Factor: 0.273641

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.2286	0.406	0.640	0.811	1.087	1.437

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	LSU	33 - 3	5	3.49212	1	1
2	Tennessee	30 - 5	1	3.29285	2	2
3	Baylor	33 - 3	11	3.17183	5	7
4	Stanford	32 - 3	38	3.16013	4	3
5	Michigan St.	33 - 4	7	3.06407	3	4
6	Duke	31 - 5	12	2.98321	6	5
7	North Carolina	30 - 4	34	2.93667	7	6
8	Ohio St.	30 - 5	32	2.85204	8	8
9	Rutgers	28 - 7	4	2.6545	9	9
10	Connecticut	25 - 8	8	2.58015	10	10
11	Notre Dame	27 - 6	18	2.43396	11	11
12	Texas	22 - 9	6	2.38602	12	12
13	Texas Tech	24 - 8	13	2.3496	14	14
14	Minnesota	26 - 8	15	2.34237	13	13
15	Vanderbilt	24 - 8	36	2.15568	15	15
16	Kansas St.	24 - 8	43	2.11408	16	17
17	Arizona St.	24 - 10	9	2.08976	17	16
18	Temple	28 - 4	74	2.03636	18	18
19	DePaul	26 - 5	88	2.03192	19	19
20	Georgia	24 - 10	17	2.02058	20	20
21	Penn St.	19 - 11	2	2.00506	21	21
22	N.C. State	21 - 8	42	1.97026	22	22
23	New Mexico	26 - 5	89	1.93857	23	23
24	Iowa St.	23 - 7	65	1.85088	25	25
25	Utah	26 - 8	62	1.84623	24	24
26	Florida St.	24 - 8	61	1.82162	26	26
27	TCU	23 - 10	56	1.80204	27	28
28	Boston Coll.	20 - 10	28	1.802	28	27
29	Wisc Green Bay	27 - 3	176	1.79942	29	29
30	Maryland	22 - 10	26	1.78355	30	30
31	Virginia	21 - 11	27	1.77054	31	31
32	Gonzaga	27 - 3	180	1.75117	32	32
33	Oregon	21 - 10	39	1.74972	33	33
34	USC	20 - 11	16	1.70677	34	34
35	Iowa	20 - 9	46	1.6695	35	35
36	Arizona	20 - 12	25	1.62678	36	36
37	Geo. Washington	23 - 9	68	1.60924	37	37
38	Virginia Tech	17 - 12	31	1.60278	38	38
39	Old Dominion	22 - 9	71	1.58454	39	39
40	Louisiana Tech	20 - 10	69	1.57551	41	41
41	Purdue	17 - 13	3	1.57291	40	42
42	Auburn	16 - 13	14	1.57055	42	40
43	Houston	21 - 9	84	1.56227	43	43
44	Rice	24 - 9	75	1.55711	46	47
45	Villanova	19 - 11	57	1.55565	44	44
46	Delaware	25 - 5	174	1.55447	45	45
47	Louisville	22 - 9	83	1.54955	47	46
48	Richmond	23 - 8	92	1.53397	48	48
49	UCLA	16 - 12	24	1.52699	49	49
50	Liberty	26 - 7	114	1.51504	50	50
51	Oklahoma	17 - 13	21	1.50509	51	53
52	Chattanooga	24 - 4	211	1.47906	52	52
53	Mississippi	19 - 11	55	1.47832	53	51
54	Middle Tenn. St.	24 - 9	123	1.47089	54	54
55	Xavier	20 - 9	94	1.46249	55	55
56	SMS	20 - 8	108	1.46096	56	56
57	Mississippi St.	17 - 11	60	1.40484	57	57
58	Florida	14 - 14	10	1.38886	58	58
59	Nebraska	17 - 13	50	1.37751	62	64
60	Indiana St.	22 - 8	169	1.37602	60	60
61	Tulsa	19 - 10	100	1.37482	61	61
62	Marquette	18 - 11	82	1.37471	59	59
63	West. Kentucky	20 - 9	134	1.36069	63	62
64	BYU	19 - 10	87	1.35864	64	63
65	SMU	19 - 10	106	1.33683	66	66
66	Illinois	17 - 12	53	1.33639	65	65
67	South Florida	20 - 10	96	1.31068	67	68
68	Texas A&M C.C.	22 - 6	187	1.3067	68	69
69	Montana	22 - 8	132	1.30356	69	70
70	Arkansas	16 - 13	30	1.29939	70	67
71	Fresno St.	20 - 10	117	1.29492	71	71
72	Charlotte	22 - 8	127	1.2851	72	72
73	Alabama	14 - 15	35	1.27354	73	73
74	UCSB	21 - 9	131	1.26621	74	74
75	Washington	14 - 16	29	1.2654	75	75
76	Arkansas St.	19 - 10	121	1.25693	76	76
77	East. Michigan	23 - 7	248	1.24436	77	78
78	Kentucky	15 - 15	58	1.23839	79	77
79	Wake Forest	15 - 14	52	1.23826	78	79
80	West Virginia	17 - 12	73	1.23439	80	80
81	Creighton	19 - 9	115	1.23349	81	81
82	Bowling Green	23 - 8	160	1.22664	82	82
83	St. John's	19 - 10	90	1.2181	83	83
84	Georgia Tech	13 - 14	48	1.21088	84	84
85	Weber St.	21 - 8	190	1.20432	85	85
86	Miami (FL)	13 - 16	19	1.19871	86	86
87	UNLV	16 - 14	77	1.17793	87	87
88	Marist	22 - 7	265	1.16308	88	88
89	Kent St.	21 - 9	238	1.14686	89	89
90	Hartford	22 - 9	185	1.1452	90	90
91	Northern Iowa	20 - 11	136	1.13688	91	91
92	Maine	20 - 9	143	1.1298	92	92
93	Texas A&M	14 - 14	54	1.12096	95	98
94	San Jose St.	18 - 12	112	1.12004	93	93
95	Long Beach St.	19 - 9	236	1.11625	94	94
96	Santa Clara	17 - 14	78	1.10877	96	95
97	Harvard	20 - 8	247	1.10638	98	96
98	Eastern Kentucky	23 - 8	202	1.1044	99	97
99	Wyoming	16 - 12	102	1.10197	100	100
100	Wisconsin	12 - 16	22	1.10109	97	99
101	TX Arlington	21 - 10	144	1.09872	101	102
102	SE Missouri St.	22 - 8	250	1.09673	102	101
103	LA Lafayette	22 - 9	210	1.08134	104	104
104	Tennessee Tech	21 - 8	256	1.08129	103	103
105	Kansas	12 - 16	59	1.07601	107	107
106	Oakland	21 - 8	293	1.07403	105	105
107	Drexel	19 - 10	197	1.06945	106	106
108	Seton Hall	14 - 14	66	1.0536	108	108
109	Colorado St.	15 - 13	85	1.05206	109	109
110	Idaho	19 - 11	170	1.04552	110	110
111	Florida Intl.	18 - 11	164	1.04193	111	111
112	Western Ill.	19 - 9	208	1.03441	112	112
113	Valparaiso	18 - 10	186	1.02469	113	113
114	Evansville	17 - 11	165	1.01766	114	114
115	Indiana	10 - 18	23	1.01291	115	117
116	Marshall	19 - 10	219	1.00994	116	115
117	Oral Roberts	22 - 9	209	1.00877	118	118
118	Georgetown	12 - 16	67	1.00801	117	116
119	Davidson	18 - 11	184	1.00357	119	119
120	James Madison	18 - 11	159	0.99256	120	120
121	Hawaii	11 - 15	79	0.991376	121	122
122	Dartmouth	17 - 11	167	0.990176	122	121
123	LA Monroe	22 - 8	307	0.987235	123	123
124	Missouri	11 - 18	37	0.983561	128	129
125	Northern Arizona	19 - 10	242	0.980667	124	125
126	Canisius	21 - 10	227	0.978475	125	126
127	California	11 - 18	45	0.978251	127	127
128	Syracuse	13 - 16	63	0.977942	126	124
129	Coppin St.	23 - 8	279	0.970426	129	128
130	Wright St.	19 - 11	223	0.966777	130	130
131	Brown	18 - 9	267	0.959081	131	131
132	Bradley	15 - 13	129	0.955566	132	132
133	Loyola Marymount	16 - 13	141	0.949659	133	133
134	Furman	18 - 10	229	0.943523	134	134
135	St. Francis (PA)	21 - 10	213	0.939102	135	135
136	Alcorn St.	21 - 9	276	0.934231	136	136
137	UCF	19 - 10	285	0.926901	137	137
138	Drake	14 - 15	109	0.921157	138	139
139	Pennsylvania	15 - 12	140	0.920443	139	138
140	Holy Cross	20 - 11	161	0.91657	140	141
141	Pittsburgh	13 - 15	70	0.916319	141	140
142	Illinois St.	13 - 18	91	0.909345	142	144
143	CSU Northridge	18 - 10	252	0.905771	143	142
144	St. Mary's	15 - 13	147	0.905236	144	143
145	Lehigh	19 - 10	290	0.901614	145	145
146	Massachusetts	14 - 15	124	0.894299	146	146
147	La Salle	12 - 16	116	0.88796	147	147
148	Colorado	9 - 19	49	0.883455	149	150
149	Clemson	8 - 20	44	0.881647	148	148
150	Robert Morris	20 - 10	308	0.875806	150	149
151	North Texas	14 - 14	110	0.872819	151	151
152	Western Carolina	18 - 14	191	0.868177	152	152
153	Wisc. Milwaukee	14 - 14	153	0.866707	153	153
154	UTEP	12 - 17	103	0.862772	155	155
155	Miami (OH)	15 - 14	182	0.862723	154	154
156	Pepperdine	12 - 17	86	0.853242	156	156
157	Towson	16 - 14	196	0.847936	157	158
158	South Carolina	8 - 21	47	0.844607	158	157
159	Eastern Wash.	16 - 12	175	0.844516	159	159
160	Memphis	13 - 16	101	0.838868	161	160
161	Sacred Heart	18 - 11	304	0.838422	160	161
162	George Mason	12 - 16	125	0.835706	163	162
163	Vermont	14 - 15	156	0.833904	162	163
164	Tulane	11 - 16	97	0.822108	164	164
165	Dayton	12 - 16	99	0.820554	165	165
166	Cincinnati	9 - 19	80	0.818684	166	166
167	Boise St.	10 - 19	98	0.818567	167	168
168	N.C. Greensboro	14 - 13	206	0.81797	168	167
169	Illinois-Chicago	14 - 15	157	0.815293	169	169
170	San Francisco	12 - 16	113	0.813381	170	170
171	Ball St.	16 - 13	200	0.812078	171	171
172	New Hampshire	15 - 14	193	0.808069	172	172
173	Hofstra	13 - 16	155	0.807127	173	173
174	Niagara	17 - 12	277	0.806508	174	174
175	Boston U.	15 - 16	239	0.805673	175	175
176	Oklahoma St.	7 - 20	33	0.803328	176	179
177	UTSA	16 - 12	269	0.79566	178	177
178	Howard	17 - 12	311	0.794543	179	176
179	Michigan	5 - 23	20	0.790166	177	178
180	East Carolina	10 - 18	104	0.787965	180	181
181	Georgia Southern	15 - 14	217	0.784083	181	180
182	E. Tennessee St.	13 - 17	158	0.782719	182	182
183	UC Riverside	15 - 13	261	0.77884	183	183
184	Belmont	17 - 11	321	0.774094	184	184
185	Duquesne	10 - 18	107	0.768885	185	186
186	Stetson	17 - 14	221	0.768853	186	185
187	Monmouth	17 - 11	291	0.763549	187	187
188	Toledo	14 - 15	235	0.763287	188	188
189	Jacksonville St.	15 - 14	226	0.759077	189	189
190	Northeastern	14 - 15	218	0.756947	190	190
191	High Point	17 - 12	260	0.754707	191	191
192	N.C. Asheville	18 - 12	303	0.749779	192	192
193	Washington St.	6 - 22	51	0.748497	193	193
194	Georgia St.	16 - 14	253	0.746557	194	194
195	Albany	14 - 14	251	0.745746	195	195
196	Texas St.	14 - 14	201	0.743925	196	196
197	Northwestern	5 - 25	40	0.737535	197	198
198	Siena	13 - 16	230	0.736648	198	197
199	Delaware St.	16 - 12	309	0.734834	199	199
200	VCU	11 - 18	137	0.730959	200	200
201	Northwestern St.	17 - 12	280	0.730349	201	201
202	Stephen F. Austin	12 - 16	178	0.727527	203	205
203	Oregon St.	6 - 23	41	0.726792	202	202
204	Hampton	14 - 13	275	0.72635	204	203
205	South Alabama	13 - 15	232	0.726168	205	204
206	Rhode Island	8 - 20	76	0.722903	206	206
207	St. Peter's	11 - 17	195	0.719583	207	207
208	Utah St.	14 - 14	257	0.716493	209	209
209	Quinnipiac	16 - 13	289	0.716062	208	208
210	Idaho St.	13 - 16	149	0.71598	211	211
211	Youngstown St.	12 - 16	222	0.71542	210	210
212	Butler	14 - 14	240	0.712277	212	212
213	Binghamton	10 - 18	212	0.709305	213	213
214	Nevada	8 - 22	93	0.70472	214	214
215	Fairfield	12 - 17	207	0.70086	215	215
216	Princeton	13 - 14	233	0.700186	216	216
217	Troy	14 - 15	287	0.698257	217	217
218	Appalachian St.	11 - 17	216	0.696763	218	218
219	Fordham	10 - 21	95	0.694406	219	219
220	Lipscomb	13 - 15	237	0.6914	220	220
221	Chicago St.	13 - 15	228	0.688622	221	221
222	Ohio	13 - 16	189	0.68635	222	222
223	San Diego	9 - 19	119	0.680038	223	223
224	St. Joseph's	7 - 23	72	0.677087	224	224
225	Charleston	15 - 14	268	0.676441	225	225
226	Alabama A&M	16 - 12	325	0.67325	226	226
227	Southern	16 - 14	319	0.66969	227	227
228	Army	15 - 13	315	0.666919	228	229
229	Columbia	12 - 15	234	0.666783	229	228
230	UMKC	10 - 20	152	0.665053	231	231
231	St. Bonaventure	9 - 19	118	0.664788	230	230
232	W. Michigan	10 - 18	172	0.661773	232	232
233	Alabama St.	15 - 14	292	0.661249	233	233
234	UAB	7 - 21	81	0.653071	234	234
235	Samford	13 - 15	282	0.650749	235	235
236	San Diego St.	8 - 20	105	0.650133	236	237
237	Cal Poly	11 - 16	271	0.649616	237	236
238	Longwood	15 - 13	286	0.637365	238	238
239	Colgate	12 - 18	266	0.635144	239	239
240	Florida Atlantic	12 - 16	272	0.633211	240	240
241	N.C. Wilmington	8 - 20	154	0.627708	241	241
242	Loyola (MD)	10 - 18	215	0.627361	242	242
243	Mercer	12 - 16	301	0.627144	243	243
244	Manhattan	11 - 18	246	0.626341	244	244
245	Cent. Michigan	10 - 18	225	0.622829	245	245
246	New Mexico St.	9 - 19	139	0.622355	246	246
247	Detroit	9 - 20	135	0.617218	247	247
248	Southern Miss	9 - 19	111	0.613293	248	248
249	Grambling St.	14 - 15	255	0.610478	249	249
250	Florida A&M	14 - 16	317	0.609441	250	250
251	AR Little Rock	10 - 19	145	0.608827	251	251
252	American	12 - 16	296	0.607367	252	252
253	Murray St.	9 - 19	168	0.604579	253	253
254	Stony Brook	8 - 20	194	0.599943	254	254
255	Radford	12 - 16	298	0.59945	255	255
256	Jackson St.	11 - 17	288	0.593359	257	259
257	Texas Pan Amer.	15 - 13	278	0.592994	256	256
258	Northern Colorado	12 - 16	148	0.590544	258	257
259	McNeese St.	10 - 19	231	0.5902	259	258
260	Austin Peay	8 - 19	214	0.586552	261	260
261	Eastern Illinois	10 - 17	204	0.585992	260	261
262	Tennessee St.	11 - 17	283	0.581084	262	262
263	Birmingham So.	13 - 15	295	0.579553	263	263
264	Sacramento St.	8 - 20	179	0.575101	264	264
265	Northern Illinois	7 - 21	146	0.573087	266	266
266	Navy	11 - 18	324	0.573049	265	265
267	Air Force	7 - 21	120	0.572647	267	267
268	Southern Utah	11 - 17	245	0.572452	268	268
269	Norfolk St.	12 - 18	313	0.570774	269	269
270	Tenn-Martin	9 - 19	163	0.566067	270	270
271	Denver	6 - 22	150	0.565872	271	271
272	MD Eastern Shore	12 - 16	299	0.562425	272	272
273	CSU Fullerton	8 - 20	241	0.561083	273	273
274	UC Davis	9 - 18	259	0.558983	274	275
275	Gardner-Webb	9 - 18	281	0.558979	275	274
276	Montana St.	9 - 18	173	0.551845	276	276
277	Rider	9 - 20	220	0.540953	277	277
278	UC Irvine	8 - 21	254	0.540714	279	279
279	Loyola (IL)	7 - 21	188	0.540578	278	280
280	MD Baltimore Cty.	8 - 20	258	0.540315	280	278
281	Bucknell	10 - 18	302	0.539137	281	281
282	Central Conn. St.	9 - 19	198	0.537383	282	282
283	Charleston S.	13 - 15	270	0.52777	283	283
284	Wichita St.	5 - 22	128	0.520222	284	284
285	Saint Louis	4 - 23	122	0.517232	285	285
286	Sam Houston St.	7 - 20	162	0.51468	286	287
287	Coastal Carolina	9 - 18	273	0.512091	287	286
288	N.C. A&T	10 - 18	284	0.509302	288	288
289	Long Island	9 - 18	294	0.507159	289	290
290	Campbell	9 - 18	320	0.507019	290	289
291	Portland	6 - 22	142	0.505029	291	291
292	Pacific	5 - 22	126	0.498964	292	292
293	St. Francis (NY)	10 - 18	322	0.496677	293	293
294	Yale	6 - 21	181	0.493918	294	294
295	William & Mary	4 - 24	138	0.491786	295	295
296	Miss. Valley St.	11 - 17	326	0.490594	296	296
297	Mount St. Mary's	9 - 19	310	0.488021	297	297
298	Iona	6 - 22	249	0.487183	298	298
299	Nicholls St.	8 - 20	274	0.484672	299	299
300	IUPUI	7 - 21	244	0.482046	300	300
301	Cleveland St.	4 - 25	151	0.480074	301	301
302	IPFW	5 - 23	166	0.476718	302	302
303	SE Louisiana	10 - 17	263	0.471497	303	303
304	Lamar	9 - 18	262	0.467975	304	304
305	S. Carolina St.	10 - 19	327	0.464886	305	305
306	Southern Ill.	3 - 24	133	0.461588	306	306
307	Elon	4 - 24	171	0.447954	307	307
308	Morehead St.	5 - 22	264	0.446423	308	308
309	Jacksonville	6 - 21	323	0.444135	309	309
310	Providence	1 - 27	64	0.442381	310	310
311	Cornell	3 - 24	205	0.430866	311	311
312	Akron	3 - 25	203	0.428272	312	312
313	Portland St.	3 - 23	192	0.426893	313	313
314	Utah Valley St.	3 - 23	199	0.42488	314	314
315	Wofford	4 - 24	183	0.421509	315	315
316	Buffalo	4 - 24	177	0.420982	316	316
317	Texas Southern	5 - 23	314	0.41781	317	317
318	Lafayette	5 - 23	305	0.41071	318	318
319	Bethune-Cookman	5 - 20	328	0.408186	319	319
320	New Orleans	2 - 26	130	0.397949	320	320
321	Prairie View A&M	6 - 21	316	0.386945	321	321
322	Fairleigh Dickinson	2 - 25	312	0.36587	322	322
323	AR Pine Bluff	6 - 21	297	0.365451	323	323
324	Savannah St.	5 - 22	318	0.356074	324	324
325	Winthrop	2 - 26	224	0.354532	325	325
326	Morgan St.	4 - 23	300	0.34882	326	326
327	Centenary	1 - 25	243	0.341971	327	327
328	Wagner	2 - 25	306	0.327406	328	328

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde