Robert's Rankings
College Women's Basketball 2004-2005
Introduction
Coll. Men's Basketball
Coll. Women's Basketball
Coll. Football
Pro Basketball
Pro Football
Pro Baseball
Pro Hockey
Number of Teams: 328
Number of Games: 4704
Number of Upsets: 1003 (21.3%)
Grouping Factor: 0.273641
Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset
50%
35%
25%
15%
10%
5%
2%
Quality Factor Difference
0
0.2286
0.406
0.640
0.811
1.087
1.437
Rank
Name
Record
Strength of Schedule
Quality Factor
1 Day Earlier
Last Week
1
LSU
33 - 3
5
3.49212
1
1
2
Tennessee
30 - 5
1
3.29285
2
2
3
Baylor
33 - 3
11
3.17183
5
7
4
Stanford
32 - 3
38
3.16013
4
3
5
Michigan St.
33 - 4
7
3.06407
3
4
6
Duke
31 - 5
12
2.98321
6
5
7
North Carolina
30 - 4
34
2.93667
7
6
8
Ohio St.
30 - 5
32
2.85204
8
8
9
Rutgers
28 - 7
4
2.6545
9
9
10
Connecticut
25 - 8
8
2.58015
10
10
11
Notre Dame
27 - 6
18
2.43396
11
11
12
Texas
22 - 9
6
2.38602
12
12
13
Texas Tech
24 - 8
13
2.3496
14
14
14
Minnesota
26 - 8
15
2.34237
13
13
15
Vanderbilt
24 - 8
36
2.15568
15
15
16
Kansas St.
24 - 8
43
2.11408
16
17
17
Arizona St.
24 - 10
9
2.08976
17
16
18
Temple
28 - 4
74
2.03636
18
18
19
DePaul
26 - 5
88
2.03192
19
19
20
Georgia
24 - 10
17
2.02058
20
20
21
Penn St.
19 - 11
2
2.00506
21
21
22
N.C. State
21 - 8
42
1.97026
22
22
23
New Mexico
26 - 5
89
1.93857
23
23
24
Iowa St.
23 - 7
65
1.85088
25
25
25
Utah
26 - 8
62
1.84623
24
24
26
Florida St.
24 - 8
61
1.82162
26
26
27
TCU
23 - 10
56
1.80204
27
28
28
Boston Coll.
20 - 10
28
1.802
28
27
29
Wisc Green Bay
27 - 3
176
1.79942
29
29
30
Maryland
22 - 10
26
1.78355
30
30
31
Virginia
21 - 11
27
1.77054
31
31
32
Gonzaga
27 - 3
180
1.75117
32
32
33
Oregon
21 - 10
39
1.74972
33
33
34
USC
20 - 11
16
1.70677
34
34
35
Iowa
20 - 9
46
1.6695
35
35
36
Arizona
20 - 12
25
1.62678
36
36
37
Geo. Washington
23 - 9
68
1.60924
37
37
38
Virginia Tech
17 - 12
31
1.60278
38
38
39
Old Dominion
22 - 9
71
1.58454
39
39
40
Louisiana Tech
20 - 10
69
1.57551
41
41
41
Purdue
17 - 13
3
1.57291
40
42
42
Auburn
16 - 13
14
1.57055
42
40
43
Houston
21 - 9
84
1.56227
43
43
44
Rice
24 - 9
75
1.55711
46
47
45
Villanova
19 - 11
57
1.55565
44
44
46
Delaware
25 - 5
174
1.55447
45
45
47
Louisville
22 - 9
83
1.54955
47
46
48
Richmond
23 - 8
92
1.53397
48
48
49
UCLA
16 - 12
24
1.52699
49
49
50
Liberty
26 - 7
114
1.51504
50
50
51
Oklahoma
17 - 13
21
1.50509
51
53
52
Chattanooga
24 - 4
211
1.47906
52
52
53
Mississippi
19 - 11
55
1.47832
53
51
54
Middle Tenn. St.
24 - 9
123
1.47089
54
54
55
Xavier
20 - 9
94
1.46249
55
55
56
SMS
20 - 8
108
1.46096
56
56
57
Mississippi St.
17 - 11
60
1.40484
57
57
58
Florida
14 - 14
10
1.38886
58
58
59
Nebraska
17 - 13
50
1.37751
62
64
60
Indiana St.
22 - 8
169
1.37602
60
60
61
Tulsa
19 - 10
100
1.37482
61
61
62
Marquette
18 - 11
82
1.37471
59
59
63
West. Kentucky
20 - 9
134
1.36069
63
62
64
BYU
19 - 10
87
1.35864
64
63
65
SMU
19 - 10
106
1.33683
66
66
66
Illinois
17 - 12
53
1.33639
65
65
67
South Florida
20 - 10
96
1.31068
67
68
68
Texas A&M C.C.
22 - 6
187
1.3067
68
69
69
Montana
22 - 8
132
1.30356
69
70
70
Arkansas
16 - 13
30
1.29939
70
67
71
Fresno St.
20 - 10
117
1.29492
71
71
72
Charlotte
22 - 8
127
1.2851
72
72
73
Alabama
14 - 15
35
1.27354
73
73
74
UCSB
21 - 9
131
1.26621
74
74
75
Washington
14 - 16
29
1.2654
75
75
76
Arkansas St.
19 - 10
121
1.25693
76
76
77
East. Michigan
23 - 7
248
1.24436
77
78
78
Kentucky
15 - 15
58
1.23839
79
77
79
Wake Forest
15 - 14
52
1.23826
78
79
80
West Virginia
17 - 12
73
1.23439
80
80
81
Creighton
19 - 9
115
1.23349
81
81
82
Bowling Green
23 - 8
160
1.22664
82
82
83
St. John's
19 - 10
90
1.2181
83
83
84
Georgia Tech
13 - 14
48
1.21088
84
84
85
Weber St.
21 - 8
190
1.20432
85
85
86
Miami (FL)
13 - 16
19
1.19871
86
86
87
UNLV
16 - 14
77
1.17793
87
87
88
Marist
22 - 7
265
1.16308
88
88
89
Kent St.
21 - 9
238
1.14686
89
89
90
Hartford
22 - 9
185
1.1452
90
90
91
Northern Iowa
20 - 11
136
1.13688
91
91
92
Maine
20 - 9
143
1.1298
92
92
93
Texas A&M
14 - 14
54
1.12096
95
98
94
San Jose St.
18 - 12
112
1.12004
93
93
95
Long Beach St.
19 - 9
236
1.11625
94
94
96
Santa Clara
17 - 14
78
1.10877
96
95
97
Harvard
20 - 8
247
1.10638
98
96
98
Eastern Kentucky
23 - 8
202
1.1044
99
97
99
Wyoming
16 - 12
102
1.10197
100
100
100
Wisconsin
12 - 16
22
1.10109
97
99
101
TX Arlington
21 - 10
144
1.09872
101
102
102
SE Missouri St.
22 - 8
250
1.09673
102
101
103
LA Lafayette
22 - 9
210
1.08134
104
104
104
Tennessee Tech
21 - 8
256
1.08129
103
103
105
Kansas
12 - 16
59
1.07601
107
107
106
Oakland
21 - 8
293
1.07403
105
105
107
Drexel
19 - 10
197
1.06945
106
106
108
Seton Hall
14 - 14
66
1.0536
108
108
109
Colorado St.
15 - 13
85
1.05206
109
109
110
Idaho
19 - 11
170
1.04552
110
110
111
Florida Intl.
18 - 11
164
1.04193
111
111
112
Western Ill.
19 - 9
208
1.03441
112
112
113
Valparaiso
18 - 10
186
1.02469
113
113
114
Evansville
17 - 11
165
1.01766
114
114
115
Indiana
10 - 18
23
1.01291
115
117
116
Marshall
19 - 10
219
1.00994
116
115
117
Oral Roberts
22 - 9
209
1.00877
118
118
118
Georgetown
12 - 16
67
1.00801
117
116
119
Davidson
18 - 11
184
1.00357
119
119
120
James Madison
18 - 11
159
0.99256
120
120
121
Hawaii
11 - 15
79
0.991376
121
122
122
Dartmouth
17 - 11
167
0.990176
122
121
123
LA Monroe
22 - 8
307
0.987235
123
123
124
Missouri
11 - 18
37
0.983561
128
129
125
Northern Arizona
19 - 10
242
0.980667
124
125
126
Canisius
21 - 10
227
0.978475
125
126
127
California
11 - 18
45
0.978251
127
127
128
Syracuse
13 - 16
63
0.977942
126
124
129
Coppin St.
23 - 8
279
0.970426
129
128
130
Wright St.
19 - 11
223
0.966777
130
130
131
Brown
18 - 9
267
0.959081
131
131
132
Bradley
15 - 13
129
0.955566
132
132
133
Loyola Marymount
16 - 13
141
0.949659
133
133
134
Furman
18 - 10
229
0.943523
134
134
135
St. Francis (PA)
21 - 10
213
0.939102
135
135
136
Alcorn St.
21 - 9
276
0.934231
136
136
137
UCF
19 - 10
285
0.926901
137
137
138
Drake
14 - 15
109
0.921157
138
139
139
Pennsylvania
15 - 12
140
0.920443
139
138
140
Holy Cross
20 - 11
161
0.91657
140
141
141
Pittsburgh
13 - 15
70
0.916319
141
140
142
Illinois St.
13 - 18
91
0.909345
142
144
143
CSU Northridge
18 - 10
252
0.905771
143
142
144
St. Mary's
15 - 13
147
0.905236
144
143
145
Lehigh
19 - 10
290
0.901614
145
145
146
Massachusetts
14 - 15
124
0.894299
146
146
147
La Salle
12 - 16
116
0.88796
147
147
148
Colorado
9 - 19
49
0.883455
149
150
149
Clemson
8 - 20
44
0.881647
148
148
150
Robert Morris
20 - 10
308
0.875806
150
149
151
North Texas
14 - 14
110
0.872819
151
151
152
Western Carolina
18 - 14
191
0.868177
152
152
153
Wisc. Milwaukee
14 - 14
153
0.866707
153
153
154
UTEP
12 - 17
103
0.862772
155
155
155
Miami (OH)
15 - 14
182
0.862723
154
154
156
Pepperdine
12 - 17
86
0.853242
156
156
157
Towson
16 - 14
196
0.847936
157
158
158
South Carolina
8 - 21
47
0.844607
158
157
159
Eastern Wash.
16 - 12
175
0.844516
159
159
160
Memphis
13 - 16
101
0.838868
161
160
161
Sacred Heart
18 - 11
304
0.838422
160
161
162
George Mason
12 - 16
125
0.835706
163
162
163
Vermont
14 - 15
156
0.833904
162
163
164
Tulane
11 - 16
97
0.822108
164
164
165
Dayton
12 - 16
99
0.820554
165
165
166
Cincinnati
9 - 19
80
0.818684
166
166
167
Boise St.
10 - 19
98
0.818567
167
168
168
N.C. Greensboro
14 - 13
206
0.81797
168
167
169
Illinois-Chicago
14 - 15
157
0.815293
169
169
170
San Francisco
12 - 16
113
0.813381
170
170
171
Ball St.
16 - 13
200
0.812078
171
171
172
New Hampshire
15 - 14
193
0.808069
172
172
173
Hofstra
13 - 16
155
0.807127
173
173
174
Niagara
17 - 12
277
0.806508
174
174
175
Boston U.
15 - 16
239
0.805673
175
175
176
Oklahoma St.
7 - 20
33
0.803328
176
179
177
UTSA
16 - 12
269
0.79566
178
177
178
Howard
17 - 12
311
0.794543
179
176
179
Michigan
5 - 23
20
0.790166
177
178
180
East Carolina
10 - 18
104
0.787965
180
181
181
Georgia Southern
15 - 14
217
0.784083
181
180
182
E. Tennessee St.
13 - 17
158
0.782719
182
182
183
UC Riverside
15 - 13
261
0.77884
183
183
184
Belmont
17 - 11
321
0.774094
184
184
185
Duquesne
10 - 18
107
0.768885
185
186
186
Stetson
17 - 14
221
0.768853
186
185
187
Monmouth
17 - 11
291
0.763549
187
187
188
Toledo
14 - 15
235
0.763287
188
188
189
Jacksonville St.
15 - 14
226
0.759077
189
189
190
Northeastern
14 - 15
218
0.756947
190
190
191
High Point
17 - 12
260
0.754707
191
191
192
N.C. Asheville
18 - 12
303
0.749779
192
192
193
Washington St.
6 - 22
51
0.748497
193
193
194
Georgia St.
16 - 14
253
0.746557
194
194
195
Albany
14 - 14
251
0.745746
195
195
196
Texas St.
14 - 14
201
0.743925
196
196
197
Northwestern
5 - 25
40
0.737535
197
198
198
Siena
13 - 16
230
0.736648
198
197
199
Delaware St.
16 - 12
309
0.734834
199
199
200
VCU
11 - 18
137
0.730959
200
200
201
Northwestern St.
17 - 12
280
0.730349
201
201
202
Stephen F. Austin
12 - 16
178
0.727527
203
205
203
Oregon St.
6 - 23
41
0.726792
202
202
204
Hampton
14 - 13
275
0.72635
204
203
205
South Alabama
13 - 15
232
0.726168
205
204
206
Rhode Island
8 - 20
76
0.722903
206
206
207
St. Peter's
11 - 17
195
0.719583
207
207
208
Utah St.
14 - 14
257
0.716493
209
209
209
Quinnipiac
16 - 13
289
0.716062
208
208
210
Idaho St.
13 - 16
149
0.71598
211
211
211
Youngstown St.
12 - 16
222
0.71542
210
210
212
Butler
14 - 14
240
0.712277
212
212
213
Binghamton
10 - 18
212
0.709305
213
213
214
Nevada
8 - 22
93
0.70472
214
214
215
Fairfield
12 - 17
207
0.70086
215
215
216
Princeton
13 - 14
233
0.700186
216
216
217
Troy
14 - 15
287
0.698257
217
217
218
Appalachian St.
11 - 17
216
0.696763
218
218
219
Fordham
10 - 21
95
0.694406
219
219
220
Lipscomb
13 - 15
237
0.6914
220
220
221
Chicago St.
13 - 15
228
0.688622
221
221
222
Ohio
13 - 16
189
0.68635
222
222
223
San Diego
9 - 19
119
0.680038
223
223
224
St. Joseph's
7 - 23
72
0.677087
224
224
225
Charleston
15 - 14
268
0.676441
225
225
226
Alabama A&M
16 - 12
325
0.67325
226
226
227
Southern
16 - 14
319
0.66969
227
227
228
Army
15 - 13
315
0.666919
228
229
229
Columbia
12 - 15
234
0.666783
229
228
230
UMKC
10 - 20
152
0.665053
231
231
231
St. Bonaventure
9 - 19
118
0.664788
230
230
232
W. Michigan
10 - 18
172
0.661773
232
232
233
Alabama St.
15 - 14
292
0.661249
233
233
234
UAB
7 - 21
81
0.653071
234
234
235
Samford
13 - 15
282
0.650749
235
235
236
San Diego St.
8 - 20
105
0.650133
236
237
237
Cal Poly
11 - 16
271
0.649616
237
236
238
Longwood
15 - 13
286
0.637365
238
238
239
Colgate
12 - 18
266
0.635144
239
239
240
Florida Atlantic
12 - 16
272
0.633211
240
240
241
N.C. Wilmington
8 - 20
154
0.627708
241
241
242
Loyola (MD)
10 - 18
215
0.627361
242
242
243
Mercer
12 - 16
301
0.627144
243
243
244
Manhattan
11 - 18
246
0.626341
244
244
245
Cent. Michigan
10 - 18
225
0.622829
245
245
246
New Mexico St.
9 - 19
139
0.622355
246
246
247
Detroit
9 - 20
135
0.617218
247
247
248
Southern Miss
9 - 19
111
0.613293
248
248
249
Grambling St.
14 - 15
255
0.610478
249
249
250
Florida A&M
14 - 16
317
0.609441
250
250
251
AR Little Rock
10 - 19
145
0.608827
251
251
252
American
12 - 16
296
0.607367
252
252
253
Murray St.
9 - 19
168
0.604579
253
253
254
Stony Brook
8 - 20
194
0.599943
254
254
255
Radford
12 - 16
298
0.59945
255
255
256
Jackson St.
11 - 17
288
0.593359
257
259
257
Texas Pan Amer.
15 - 13
278
0.592994
256
256
258
Northern Colorado
12 - 16
148
0.590544
258
257
259
McNeese St.
10 - 19
231
0.5902
259
258
260
Austin Peay
8 - 19
214
0.586552
261
260
261
Eastern Illinois
10 - 17
204
0.585992
260
261
262
Tennessee St.
11 - 17
283
0.581084
262
262
263
Birmingham So.
13 - 15
295
0.579553
263
263
264
Sacramento St.
8 - 20
179
0.575101
264
264
265
Northern Illinois
7 - 21
146
0.573087
266
266
266
Navy
11 - 18
324
0.573049
265
265
267
Air Force
7 - 21
120
0.572647
267
267
268
Southern Utah
11 - 17
245
0.572452
268
268
269
Norfolk St.
12 - 18
313
0.570774
269
269
270
Tenn-Martin
9 - 19
163
0.566067
270
270
271
Denver
6 - 22
150
0.565872
271
271
272
MD Eastern Shore
12 - 16
299
0.562425
272
272
273
CSU Fullerton
8 - 20
241
0.561083
273
273
274
UC Davis
9 - 18
259
0.558983
274
275
275
Gardner-Webb
9 - 18
281
0.558979
275
274
276
Montana St.
9 - 18
173
0.551845
276
276
277
Rider
9 - 20
220
0.540953
277
277
278
UC Irvine
8 - 21
254
0.540714
279
279
279
Loyola (IL)
7 - 21
188
0.540578
278
280
280
MD Baltimore Cty.
8 - 20
258
0.540315
280
278
281
Bucknell
10 - 18
302
0.539137
281
281
282
Central Conn. St.
9 - 19
198
0.537383
282
282
283
Charleston S.
13 - 15
270
0.52777
283
283
284
Wichita St.
5 - 22
128
0.520222
284
284
285
Saint Louis
4 - 23
122
0.517232
285
285
286
Sam Houston St.
7 - 20
162
0.51468
286
287
287
Coastal Carolina
9 - 18
273
0.512091
287
286
288
N.C. A&T
10 - 18
284
0.509302
288
288
289
Long Island
9 - 18
294
0.507159
289
290
290
Campbell
9 - 18
320
0.507019
290
289
291
Portland
6 - 22
142
0.505029
291
291
292
Pacific
5 - 22
126
0.498964
292
292
293
St. Francis (NY)
10 - 18
322
0.496677
293
293
294
Yale
6 - 21
181
0.493918
294
294
295
William & Mary
4 - 24
138
0.491786
295
295
296
Miss. Valley St.
11 - 17
326
0.490594
296
296
297
Mount St. Mary's
9 - 19
310
0.488021
297
297
298
Iona
6 - 22
249
0.487183
298
298
299
Nicholls St.
8 - 20
274
0.484672
299
299
300
IUPUI
7 - 21
244
0.482046
300
300
301
Cleveland St.
4 - 25
151
0.480074
301
301
302
IPFW
5 - 23
166
0.476718
302
302
303
SE Louisiana
10 - 17
263
0.471497
303
303
304
Lamar
9 - 18
262
0.467975
304
304
305
S. Carolina St.
10 - 19
327
0.464886
305
305
306
Southern Ill.
3 - 24
133
0.461588
306
306
307
Elon
4 - 24
171
0.447954
307
307
308
Morehead St.
5 - 22
264
0.446423
308
308
309
Jacksonville
6 - 21
323
0.444135
309
309
310
Providence
1 - 27
64
0.442381
310
310
311
Cornell
3 - 24
205
0.430866
311
311
312
Akron
3 - 25
203
0.428272
312
312
313
Portland St.
3 - 23
192
0.426893
313
313
314
Utah Valley St.
3 - 23
199
0.42488
314
314
315
Wofford
4 - 24
183
0.421509
315
315
316
Buffalo
4 - 24
177
0.420982
316
316
317
Texas Southern
5 - 23
314
0.41781
317
317
318
Lafayette
5 - 23
305
0.41071
318
318
319
Bethune-Cookman
5 - 20
328
0.408186
319
319
320
New Orleans
2 - 26
130
0.397949
320
320
321
Prairie View A&M
6 - 21
316
0.386945
321
321
322
Fairleigh Dickinson
2 - 25
312
0.36587
322
322
323
AR Pine Bluff
6 - 21
297
0.365451
323
323
324
Savannah St.
5 - 22
318
0.356074
324
324
325
Winthrop
2 - 26
224
0.354532
325
325
326
Morgan St.
4 - 23
300
0.34882
326
326
327
Centenary
1 - 25
243
0.341971
327
327
328
Wagner
2 - 25
306
0.327406
328
328
© 1996-2005
Robert A. Rohde