Robert's Rankings

Professional Baseball 2004

2002 Season 2003 Season

Number of Teams: 30	Number of Games: 2452
Number of Upsets: 1036 (42.3%)	Grouping Factor: 0.168762

Empirical Probability of Future Upsets
Chance of Upset	50%	35%	25%	15%	10%	5%	2%
Quality Factor Difference	0	0.852	1.512	2.388	3.024	4.05	5.36

Rank	Name	Record	Strength of Schedule	Quality Factor	1 Day Earlier	Last Week
1	Boston	108 - 69	9	1.70013	1	2
2	NY Yankees	104 - 67	3	1.26979	4	7
3	Houston	96 - 78	21	1.26236	3	3
4	St. Louis	113 - 64	17	1.23112	2	1
5	Baltimore	80 - 83	6	1.2302	5	8
6	Oakland	93 - 69	8	1.18596	9	9
7	Atlanta	96 - 72	28	1.17047	6	4
8	San Francisco	89 - 73	30	1.16609	7	5
9	Minnesota	88 - 78	19	1.16208	10	11
10	Chi Cubs	89 - 73	23	1.15159	8	6
11	Anaheim	92 - 73	5	1.14174	11	12
12	Texas	88 - 74	7	1.07862	12	15
13	Los Angeles	97 - 69	25	1.01979	13	10
14	Philadelphia	84 - 79	26	0.995186	14	13
15	Seattle	64 - 98	4	0.990131	16	19
16	Cleveland	81 - 81	14	0.983836	17	18
17	Florida	86 - 77	29	0.960656	15	14
18	Chi White Sox	84 - 78	12	0.958581	18	20
19	Toronto	67 - 94	2	0.943477	19	22
20	San Diego	84 - 78	27	0.89699	20	16
21	Pittsburgh	73 - 88	16	0.875465	21	17
22	Detroit	74 - 88	11	0.847519	23	25
23	Cincinnati	76 - 86	15	0.829211	22	21
24	Colorado	69 - 93	22	0.774134	24	23
25	NY Mets	74 - 88	20	0.772373	25	24
26	Tampa Bay	67 - 92	1	0.740047	27	28
27	Montreal	67 - 96	24	0.739834	26	26
28	Kansas City	61 - 101	10	0.675484	29	29
29	Milwaukee	67 - 94	13	0.660558	28	27
30	Arizona	52 - 110	18	0.586575	30	30

© 1996-2005 Robert A. Rohde